Just when Democrats thought it couldn’t get worse, it did. This time, they’ve got to worry that they’re losing Robert Byrd’s Senate seat:

Republican John Raese has edged ahead of West Virginia’s popular Democratic Governor Joe Manchin for the first time in the state’s special U.S. Senate race.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely West Virginia Voters finds Raese earning 48% support to Manchin’s 46% when leaners are included. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

RCP’s Sean Trende just tweeted that Manchin’s problem is that West Virginians like him as governor but they don’t like President Obama’s agenda.

By electing Raese, West Virginians get the best of both worlds: Manchin stays governor and Raese votes against President Obama’s agenda, especially Cap and Tax.

The question now becomes which races the DSCC can’t pour resources into. They’ve got a ton of races where their longtime incumbents are in trouble or where the incumbent’s successor is in trouble. (Think Connecticut.) Patty Murray and Barbara Boxer aren’t in great shape either.

The other thing that’s gotta scare Democrats is that, with big turnouts for the House races, those turnouts might tip an extra Senate race or two.

UPDATE: When I started this post, I thought that things were bad for the Democrats. After reading Ed’s post, I’ll now admit that it could be worse:

House and Senate Democrats are increasingly competing against one another over a small universe of deep-pocketed donors who could make a financial difference in the final stretch before the midterm elections.

In some cases, donors report that they are being urged to fund Senate campaigns at the expense of the House, where Democrats are in danger of losing their majority.

One House Democratic fundraiser said that some Senate operatives are telling big donors and union officials, “The House is lost; you have to save the Senate.”

I’d love hearing Ruy Texeira’s take on the Emerging Democrat Majority now.

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One Response to “Another Seat to Defend?”

  • walter hanson says:

    I wondered if the donors are thinking about all the extra dollars in taxes they will be paying next year because Obama and the Democrats want to raise their tax rates?

    I think they might be saying no to everyone and maybe be giving to the Republicans instead.

    Walter Hanson
    Minneapolis, MN

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