Some might think that the reason why Democrats are gearing up for a mudslinging campaign this fall is because they trail Republicans in Rasmussen’s Generic Ballot polling:

Republican candidates now hold a nine-point lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, July 18, the widest gap between the two parties in several weeks.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 45% of Likely Voters would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate, while 36% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent. Support for Republicans inched up a point from last week, while support for the Democrat fell two points.

While solid majorities of Democrats and Republicans support the candidates of their respective party, voters not affiliated with either party prefer the Republican candidate by a 47% to 21% margin.

To many, this is a chicken/egg type of question. It isn’t if you apply a few critical thinking principles. The question must be asked why unaffiliated voters favor Republicans by a 2:1 margin.

If you aren’t a partisan, what reason have Democrats given you for voting for them? Is it likely that you’ll be thrilled that they rammed through an unpopular health care bill that includes $670,000,000,000 of tax increases? Do unafilliated voters like the thought of Congress passing Cap and Tax, the biggest regressive tax increase in U.S. history? Are unafilliated voters impressed with this Democratic congress and this Democratic administration’s trillion $ deficits and all-but-nonexistent job creation numbers? Are America’s job creators worried that the Democrats’ taxes and health care-related regulations might force them to lay new employees off?

Simply put, the few things that the Democrats passed the past 18 months haven’t played well with the public while the thing that the American people wanted Congress to address, jobs, hasn’t been addressed.

With that track record, Democrats can’t tout their accomplishments to more than a handful of partisans. Touting the stimulus and health care bills will only help get Democrats defeated this November.

That’s why we should expect Democrats like Barbara Boxer, Harry Reid, John Spratt and others to go negative before Labor Day. They can’t campaign on a list of positive accomplishments, which means that they’ll be forced to go negative the vast majority of the time.

The key for Republicans is to keep telling the public their plans to create jobs, reduce the deficit, make health care affordable and reduce the violence in the southwest.

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Cross-posted at California Conservative

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