This Politico article is what happens when outsiders write about Minnesota in the context of this year’s presidential election. The first tip-off that the reporter is either ill-informed or dishonest comes when he says “Interviews with more than a dozen officials and strategists from both parties in recent days depict a state in which Joe Biden is leading, but where the president is making inroads in rural Minnesota.” That’s BS.

In 2016, Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton by a 54%-38% margin in Minnesota’s Eighth District. That year, In 2016, Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton by a 61%-31% margin in Minnesota’s 7th District. Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton by a 52%-38% margin in Minnesota’s First District. Finally, Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton by a 59%-38% margin in Minnesota’s Sixth District.

The point is that President Trump already dominates rural Minnesota. When you dominate each of the rural districts, you’re past the “making inroads” stage. I agree with the writer on this:

He’s still preoccupied with his near-miss four years later. “One more speech, I would have won,” Trump told a crowd recently in Mankato, a small college town in southern Minnesota. “It was so close.”

This time, his campaign has poured staff into the state, creating an operational footprint that Democrats only recently eclipsed. He reserved millions of dollars in TV time for a fall ad blitz, and seized on protests following the death of George Floyd in Minneapolis, the state’s liberal stronghold, as a springboard for his broader law-and-order campaign.

President Trump won’t win the Twin Cities vote. He doesn’t need to, though he needs to do well in the suburbs. President Trump’s law-and-order message will play well in Minneapolis, St. Paul and the suburbs. School choice is shaping up to be the sleeper issue in the Twin Cities. If President Trump pounds that message, he’ll have a strong shot at winning Minnesota.

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