Dr. Deborah Birx is a natural treasure. She’s the voice of calm expertise in a time of panic. Yesterday, Dr. Birx addressed the media on the point of computer models that the media is citing.

In her presentation, Dr. Birx said “I’m sure you have seen the recent report out of the U.K. about them adjusting completely their needs. This is really quite important. If you remember, that was the report that says there would be 500,000 deaths in the U.K. and 2.2 million deaths in the United States. They’ve adjusted that number in the U.K. to 20,000. Half a million to 20,000.”

A few days ago, this report was used to frighten people. The implication at the time was that President Trump wasn’t doing a good job of eliminating the virus. Dr. Birx continued, saying:

Models are models. We are — there is enough data of the real experience with the coronavirus on the ground to really make these predictions much more sound. So when people start talking about 20% of a population getting infected, it’s very scary, but we don’t have data that matches that based on our experience.

And the situation about ventilators. We are reassured in meeting with our colleagues in New York that there are still I.C.U. Beds remaining and still significant, over 1,000 or 2,000 ventilators that have not been utilized.

The media should devote infinitely more time on reporting actual statistics than on these frightening and misleading computer models. As Dr. Birx just showed, the model wasn’t accurate. Finally, Dr. Birx finished by saying this:

Please for the reassurance of people around the world, to wake up this morning and look at people talking about creating DNR situations, Do Not Resuscitate situations for patients, there is no situation in the United States right now that warrants that kind of discussion. You can be thinking about it in the hospital. Certainly, hospitals talk about this on a daily basis, but to say that to the American people and make the implication that when they need a hospital bed it’s not going to be there or a ventilator, it’s not going to be there, we don’t have evidence of that.

Almost 3:30 into this video, Dr. Birx gets into that presentation:

It’s time for the media to stop frightening people. It’s time for them to start reporting.

One Response to “Dr. Birx vs. media’s scare tactics”

  • Chad Q says:

    Trying to predict the infection and death rates is no different than predicting temperature rises for global warming. If you input bad data, you get bad results. Only difference is there’s really people getting infected and dying.

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