When it rains, it pours. When Nancy Pelosi’s Democrats declared war on President Trump, they woke a sleeping giant. That’s if you thought that Republicans were sleeping, which I didn’t. The floodgates have opened and it’s raining advertising cash into the districts of vulnerable Impeachment Democrats.

GOP-aligned outside groups have spent roughly $8 million on TV spots this cycle in battleground districts, such as Rep. Anthony Brindisi’s central New York seat. The vast majority of those ads specifically hammer Democrats over impeachment.

Meanwhile, swing-district Democrats are receiving little reinforcement from their own party or even other liberal coalitions. Democratic and pro-impeachment groups have spent about $2.7 million in TV ads, according to an analysis of spending by the ad tracking firm Advertising Analytics. And more than $600,000 of that total went to ads targeting Republican incumbents, not helping vulnerable Democratic members.

“Many of us have been expressing our concerns to leadership,” said a Democratic lawmaker said, who declined to be named in order to speak candidly about strategy. “You don’t want to have to play catch up.”

“Everyone knows you don’t just take a shot and sit there,” the lawmaker said. “It’s like someone taped our arms to our side and punched us in the face.”

That’s what happens when 232 Democrats voted for impeachment. These supposedly moderate Democrats showed their true colors. Meanwhile, the numbers of Never Trumpers continues shrinking. If you want to start a wave election, this is the way to do it.

Democratic-aligned groups, however, have begun spending on ads. Last week, the liberal coalition Protect Our Care launched a $2 million digital ad campaign to promote a Democratic drug-pricing bill. But GOP groups are devoting far more cash, including a roughly $5 million buy on anti-impeachment TV ads across 18 Democratic districts by American Action Network, a nonprofit tied to House GOP leadership.

The last I checked, $5,000,000 is quite a bit more than $2,000,000. Also, the unfair impeachment hearings didn’t play well in battleground districts. In fact, the impeachment hearings have pulled House Republicans closer together than at anytime since 2010. For those too young to remember 2010, Republicans and independents registered their disgust with the ACA that year. Republicans gained a net 63 seats in the House. Republicans flipped majorities in 20+ legislative bodies nationwide. Republicans flipped governorships, too.

Check this out:

“That’s probably something for the pundits to decide. I’m just focused on doing the right thing and voting for the district,” Cunningham said in an interview. “People in the First District are smart and they can sift through the fiction and get to the facts and when they do they realize that I’m the most bipartisan freshman Democrat.”

That sounds awfully defensive. It sounds like something a worried Democrat would say. He has a right to say that. He’s got a bullseye painted on his back in a ruby red state. Speaking of ruby red states:

McAdams, another swing-district Democrat who’s being targeted by ads, said he’s working to counter the GOP ads with his own direct pitches to voters in events like town halls.

“They’re negative but you know, I’m out there in person telling my district the work that I’m doing and they know me,” McAdams said. “They’re going to judge me based on who I am and my track record and I think I have a track record that resonates.”

McAdams voted to start the impeachment inquiry. That’s the biggest thing voters in UT-4 need to know. This is telling:

House Majority Forward, a nonprofit with ties to Pelosi, has so far made the largest investment to help vulnerable Democrats, running $2 million worth of ads in a dozen districts. Those spots touted legislative achievement of freshman lawmakers but did not explicitly mention impeachment.

Isn’t that interesting? If impeachment isn’t hurting Democrats, why aren’t they touting it? This, more than anything, indicates that impeachment is hurting Democrats. All of the Democrats’ spin isn’t changing reality. Not even with the MSM’s help can they turn this polling around.

The Democrats have a decision looming. They can either start working with President Trump or they can anticipate a wave election. Democrats promised to work with President Trump. They haven’t. The people won’t vote to re-elect politicians who didn’t keep their promises..

One Response to “The GOP onslaught starts”

  • eric z says:

    Pelosi wanted to avoid impeachment hearings and a final vote on whether to impeach. Her caucus pushed her, where they in turn in going back to district heard hot words in town hall local events. The strong sentiment against Trump among citizens exists, while he has supporters with equally strong feelings. Trump finalized the scenario with that Ukraine phone call show, and the downhill snowball gained its own momentum. At least it gives media stuff to pundit over, so it’s not all sound and fury signifying nothing. It gets WaPo and NYR online hits, for which advertisers are cheered; although many in doing online reading use ad blocking browser technology. Will MSNBC be able to sell Joe Biden? That might be the most interesting question today, if Biden does not disappear during early polling even before substantial primary voting. The effort of Dem. money to fob off Joe upon the rank-and-file and upon outsiders with strong progressive expectations is bigger long-term, than the House action against Trump. Given the Senate nose-count any final House action will face, there’s a feeling of mootness in the air over why bother, the McConnell fix is on anyway.

Leave a Reply