Anyone that thinks Speaker Pelosi has things under control is kidding themselves. Mitch McConnell’s statement illustrates that dilemma:

Eight weeks ago, the administration sent Congress an urgent request for humanitarian money for the border. For eight weeks, we’ve seen evidence nearly every day that the conditions have been getting worse. But during all this time our House Democratic colleagues have been unable to produce a clean measure to provide this humanitarian funding with any chance of becoming law. The proposal they finally passed this week was way to the left of the mainstream. The president made it clear it would earn a veto, not a signature. Even so, in an abundance of fairness, the Senate voted on Speaker Pelosi’s effort, poison-pill riders and all. It earned just 37 votes.

Fortunately, we do have a chance to make law this week on a hugely bipartisan basis. Yesterday the Senate advanced a clean, simple humanitarian funding bill by a huge margin. Thanks to Chairman Shelby and Senator Leahy, this bipartisan package sailed through the Appropriations Committee, 30 to one. And yesterday it passed the full Senate – listen to this – 84 to 8. We sent that clean bill over to the House by a vote of 84 to 8. The Shelby-Leahy legislation has unified the Appropriations Committee. It has unified the Senate. The administration would sign it into law. So all our House colleagues need to do to help the men, women, and children on the border this week is pass this unifying bipartisan bill and send it on to the president.

Anyone that thinks this doesn’t paint Speaker Pelosi into a corner is kidding themselves. Her ultra-far-left partisans won’t vote for the Senate bill. Her far-left Democrats likely won’t vote for the Senate bill either. The House Democrats’ bill passed on a mostly party-line vote. That bill got all of 37 votes in the Senate. That means at least 10 Senate Democrats voted against the House Democrats’ bill.

From a negotiating standpoint, Speaker Pelosi enters the negotiations from a position of weakness. The Democrats’ poison pills will certainly not be in the final funding bill for DHS. That gives Speaker Pelosi 2 options: either she asks for Republicans’ help to pass the bipartisan Senate bill or she can opt to fight for the House Democrats’ bill.

That last option simply isn’t viable. In the end, she’d put tons of her vulnerable somewhat-moderate freshmen in an impossible position by fighting. With her gavel at stake, I’m betting that she caves and accepts the Republicans’ help in passing the clean funding bill. This won’t improve Speaker Pelosi’s negotiating position:

UPDATE: House Democrats caved on the emergency funding bill for DHS:

House Democrats will vote Thursday on a clean Senate-passed bill to address the border crisis, marking a blow to Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and liberal members who had demanded additional protections for migrant children.

House Democrats are still in trouble because Pelosi and her far-left ideologues had to be dragged kicking and screaming to support the Senate’s bipartisan bill.

This is my I-told-you-so moment:

“There’s a feeling in the room that the bipartisan Senate vote … leaves the House will very little room to negotiate,” said a Democratic lawmaker in the Pelosi meeting.

Leave a Reply