The first time I read the headline to this article, I had to do a doubletake. The headline said “KSTP/SurveyUSA Poll: Ellison, Wardlow in Dead Heat in Attorney General Race.” I could picture it being close but tied? That was further than my imagination could stretch. Then I watched this video:

Democrats have had a vice grip on the office of Minnesota attorney general for 47 years, but the 2018 race for that job is shaping up as the closest in decades. A KSTP/SurveyUSA poll shows Democrat Keith Ellison and Republican Doug Wardlow deadlocked at 41 percent each. “This is anybody’s race,” said political scientist Steven Schier. “Ellison is vulnerable in a way other Democrats are not.”

When he jumped into the AG’s race, most Minnesota pundits thought it was Ellison’s to lose. If he loses, it’ll be the end of Ellison’s political career. How do you overcome a setback like that? It’s one thing to win over former Republicans. IT’s quite another to win back #MeToo Democrats.

The only thing missing from the headline is the theme song from the Twilight Zone.

2 Responses to “This isn’t real, is it?”

  • eric z says:

    Stan Hubbard rides again. Push polling? We are not told sample size nor actual poll question wording, nor sampling technique; so real or not, delinquent reporting is at play. So whether push polling was a factor cannot be determined. Why not guess?

    Early polling is what it is, but each party should consider the results; and presumably party administration on both sides will be asking about the poll details. Gary, if you find out any further detail it would be great if you posted it.

    If Wardlow loses, has he any political career left; or does the speculation at LFR cut only one way?

  • Gary Gross says:

    Push polling? Not likely. The questions are available on SurveyUSA’s website. You might not like the results. You might question methodology. But making that accusation is flimsy at best.

    PS-

    About: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,050 adults statewide 09/06/18 through 09/08/18. Of the adults, 920 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA identified 574 who were likely to vote in the 11/06/18 mid-term election. Governor Dayton is not seeking re-election. This research was conducted online.

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