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Newt Gingrich is one of the best political strategists of our time. Whether you agree or disagree with his policies, whether you think he’s too temperamental or whether you think he’s utterly brilliant, there’s no denying the fact that he’s got a fantastic knack of understanding main street. This video is a tour de force presentation by Newt:

Here’s the first thing Newt said that caught my attention:

It’s great. It’s the American drama. After all the talk, after all the ads, after all the pontificating, the American people get to tell us.

I’ll just say this. It’s about time. Let’s get this started. I’ve had enough of looking at deceitful polls. I’m tired of listening to President Obama’s stump speech. It isn’t time for the pontificators to leave the stage. It’s just time for them to add insight into why the American people made the decision they made.

This is the next thing Newt said that caught my attention:

I’ll give you one example. They’re talking about Democratic early voting in Ohio but they’re counting the counties along the Ohio River, which is coal country, which are Second Amendment gun rights country, which are God-fearing counttry, which are the very things that Obama had contempt for in San Fransisco. Those Democrats are going to vote against Obama.

It’s wrong to think of these coal-mining Democrats as Romney Democrats, at least at this point. It’s possible they’d be accurately described as Romney Democrats. It’s entirely possible they’ll just join the GOP.

At this point, though, it’s best calling them anti-Obama Democrats. At this point, they’re best described as people agitated that a Democrat wouldn’t fight for the blue collar Democrats that once was the backbone of the Democratic Party.

This statement spoke volumes to me:

NEWT: I was struck by something Jeff Zeleny of the New York Times, hardly a right wing reporter, said that the states he’d been in this week, his phrase was “The organic enthusiasm was for Romney.” There was a mechanical machine for Obama but there was an organic enthusiasm for Romney. My experience in politics is that organic enthusiasm,. the whole wave effect, always defeats the mechanical machine.

Notice that Newt didn’t criticize the machine. He simply said that a mob of genuinely enthusiastic voters will defeat the machine every time. I couldn’t dispute that if I wanted to.

Later, they talked about Todd Akin. Here’s what Newt said there:

Well, first of all, Callista and I have both been out campaigning with him. I’ve really liked Todd Akin. He was given a very bum rap by the national establishment. She is a very Obama-like voter in a state that voted by 71% against Obamacare and then she voted for Obamacare six weeks later. And Romney’s going to carry the state by 8-12 point so I think Akin wins by 3 points.

Frankly, I hadn’t thought about the folks along Ohio River Democrats voting early for Mitt but it makes sense. If that’s what’s happened, then that drops Ohio comfortably into Mitt’s lap. Similarly, if Mitt’s winning Missouri by double-digits and if Missourans don’t like Claire McCaskill like I think is the case, then I think Todd Akin wins.

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12 Responses to “Why Mitt Romney will win big”

  • eric z says:

    “organic enthusiasm?”

    Newt-speak, at its most creative?

    The media always want to tout it as a horse-race to the wire.

    I see this one as a bit of a dog race. Neither deserving to catch the mechanical rabbit.

  • Gary Gross says:

    I see this as Mitt earning America’s trust, then turning that into an economic upturn that gets America working again.

    Wall Street banks appropriately regulated. Laws getting enforced, unlike with the Holder DOJ. Small business start-ups increasing dramatically. Jobs getting created & incomes rising.

    Our not-brief-enough national nightmare is about to be over. Thank God.

  • Nick says:

    Discounting the Gary Johnson factor? Just 3 days before today, he polled at 4% in Colorado and Ohio (CNN/ORC poll). Word is that Johnson could swing Colorado to Romney and both New Hampshire and Ohio to Obama. Virgil Goode could swing Virginia to Obama.

  • Gary Gross says:

    I’m totally discounting Gary Johnson. He won’t affect the outcome of any state.

  • eric z says:

    “… an economic upturn that gets America working again.

    “Wall Street banks appropriately regulated. Laws getting enforced, unlike with the Holder DOJ. Small business start-ups increasing dramatically. Jobs getting created & incomes rising.”

    An Aston Martin in every garage, unless you want a Bentley.

  • Gary Gross says:

    Why do you hate achievers? That’s a rather ugly trait. I celebrate others’ success stories. Why don’t you?

  • eric z says:

    Obama is an achiever.

    And Gary, Romney is a corporate raider. A job killer at Bain. A job outsourcer.

    What I want is the rich to pay their fair share, Gary, so your tax load can be lower. I love you that way, dude.

    Do you want to subsidize Helmsley at UnitedHealth, with the biggest paycheck in the State?

    I don’t. He gets richer by people dying when procedures and coverage are denied. He’s a ghoul.

  • Gary Gross says:

    Obama isn’t an achiever. He’s killing the fossil fuel industry. He’s killing manufacturers with high energy prices. Tonight, Anerica proved that they’re gullible.

  • Tammy Quist says:

    And how did that work for y’all??? :)

  • #6 says:

    Question to Eric: What do you consider a fair share to “give” (at the point of a gun)? 50%? 70%? 100%? I’d like to know. It’ll help me understand socialists better. And, yes I do know what a socialist is, my college degree was in political science.

  • shad says:

    HE LOST CAUSE HE WAS NOT CONSERVTIVE
    HE WAS A MOMORN
    HE DID NOT WORK IN ALL 50 STATES
    HE DID NOT FIGHT AT COLLEGE. EVERY DAY THE DEMOS HAD PEOPLE THERE AND REPS WERE NOT
    HE LOST CAUSE HE DID NOT DEFINE THE PLAN.

    GOP NEEDS A LONG CHEW OUT CAUSE WE LOST

  • Gary Gross says:

    Shame on you, Shad. You should know better than saying that. The fact that Mitt’s a Mormon is irrelevant. Yesterday, we voted for a president, not for a pastor.

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