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The DFL started setting up a phony storyline to propel them back into the majority in the Minnesota legislature during Gov. Dayton’s State of the State Address in 2011. At a time when nobody was thinking about a possible special session to pass the budget, Gov. Dayton asked the legislature to pledge not to shut government down.

By early May, it was clear that Gov. Dayton, Sen. Bakk and Rep. Thissen were hoping for a government shutdown. At midnight, July 1, 2011, the Dayton/DFL shutdown became reality.

Along the way, the DFL and ABM started talking about the do-nothing legislature. What’s interesting is that the DFL legislature didn’t submit a budget nor did they submit a set of redistricting maps. The DFL won’t talk about that because that cost Minnesota taxpayers $188,000 in exchange for…nothing.

Here in Central Minnesota, the goal is to go 12 for 12 in ’12. The goal is to elect Jeff Howe, Jim Newberger, David Fitzsimmons and Nick Zerwas to their first terms in the House. We expect to re-elect Tim O’Driscoll, Steve Gottwalt, King Banaian and Sondra Erickson to the House. We expect to send Michelle Fischbach, John Pederson and Dave Brown back to the Senate while adding Mary Kiffmeyer to the Senate.

While I haven’t studied the entire state, a couple of races caught my attention. John Carlson is matched against Tom Saxhaug in SD-5. I’m picking Sen. Carlson to win by 8-10 points. Carolyn McElfatrick is paired against Tom Anzelc in HD-5B with Larry Howes matched against John Persell in HD-5A. I expect McElfatrick to win by 4-6 points. I expect Howes to squeak out a victory against Persell.

When the dust settles, I expect Republicans to keep control of the Legislature, mostly on the strength of their recent candidates. The fire-breathing zealots that Tom Bakk and Paul Thissen whined about will be returned to torture Mssrs. Bakk and Thissen. Republicans will have a 71-63 majority in the House and a 38-29 majority in the Senate.

As for the congressional races, John Kline, Erik Paulsen, Michele Bachmann and Chip Cravaack will win re-election. Rumors from Tuesday night that Alida Rockefeller-Dayton-Messinger is demanding Ken Martin’s head on a platter shouldn’t be taken seriously, though understanding why nobody’s heard of his whereabouts should be taken seriously.

The quality of the GOP legislative candidates will be a major reason why Republicans did so well. The leadership at the BPOU and congressional district levels, with a couple exceptions, will be a GOP strength, too.

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4 Responses to “Final forecast time”

  • eric z says:

    I read it, had to do a word search to confirm, there is one race you omitted, yes/no?

  • gobigred says:

    I am glad to hear the positive forecast. The MN 5 has a very good candidate, Chris Fields and the Republican Party has got to help get rid of you-know-who. He is making up for tons of good out-state candidates. There is so much Damage being done. Do not forget the people here who have no voice even though we vote and fund your candidates.

  • walter hanson says:

    Gobigred:

    What we need to do is get the 4th and the 5th to start being closer to 50-50 compared with 70-30. That is why we Governor Dayton, Miss Swanson, Mr. Ritchie, Amy K, and Al F.

    That’s what we need to do to start winning state wide!

    Walter Hanson
    Minneapolis, MN

  • walter hanson says:

    Gary:

    I feel sorry for Ken. He is going to be blamed because Obama is going to drag down the ticket. He is going to be blamed because the marriage amendment and voter ID will get new voters out. He is going to be blamed because a 30 seat victory which they’re expecting isn’t going to happen.

    Maybe if they have a real agenda instead of wanting to shutdown the state government and spend money we don’t have they might have a chance to win.

    Walter Hanson
    Minneapolis, MN

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