Archive for the ‘GOTV’ Category

Thank God for Ronna McDaniel’s twitter feed. Without the statistics from President Trump’s rallies, I’d have nothing but worthless media polls to base my political opinions on. Friday, President Trump made campaign stops in The Villages, FL and Pensacola, FL. According to McDaniel’s reports, both rallies added new Trump voters:


President Trump, aka the Executive Branch’s Energizer Bunny, isn’t slowing down. President Trump has held 2 rallies on Saturday thus far and still plans on holding a third rally tonight. Then it’s more rallies in battleground states each day until Election Day. Chairwoman McDaniel is doing a great job running the RNC and getting out these statistics. President Trump is the best presidential campaigner, at least in terms of energy and enthusiastic crowds.

Based on the size of President Trump’s rallies and Ronna McDaniel’s statistics, it’s pretty obvious that the polls are pretty wrong. The sole exception to that is the Trafalgar Group’s polling.

Next weekend, expect my predictions post. I want to see a few more days worth of data before making another prediction. This I’ll guarantee, though: My predictions likely won’t line up with the MSM’s predictions.

Katie Pavlich’s latest Townhall column should frighten the daylights out of the Biden campaign. This afternoon, a Biden surrogate said that rally attendance doesn’t equal votes. I disagree with that. I wrote here about something that Brad Parscale said the day before the New Hampshire Primary.

Parscale said “96.6% of the people who attend a Trump rally wind up voting for him.” Additionally, Parscale said that “if a person who attends a Trump rally and who makes a contribution, the chances of that voter returning and voting for Trump jumps to 98.4%.” That sounds to me like attending a Trump rally eventually turns into voting for President Trump. But I digress. Back to the Pavlich article. She quoted RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel’s tweet:


This isn’t a fluke. It’s been happening at Trump rally after Trump rally. If it happens occasionally, it’s a bit fluky. If it happens frequently, it’s a pattern. This fits as a pattern.

This is from today:


One last tweet:


Put these statistics together points to one thing — a solid Trump victory. Hopefully, that equates to unified GOP governance. Finally, what these statistics don’t point to is a blue wave. You can write that wave off.

CNN is expanding their Fake News franchise to not just include ‘Fake News Bombshell’ coverage but to also include ‘Fake News Polling. This poll shouldn’t get respect from serious people. News people and pundits like prefacing their polling by saying that polls are snapshots. That’s occasionally true. This time, that isn’t the case.

This time, CNN reports that “Joe Biden’s advantage over President Donald Trump has expanded and the former vice president now holds his widest lead of the cycle with less than a month remaining before Election Day, according to a new nationwide CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. Among likely voters, 57% say they back Biden and 41% Trump in the poll that was conducted entirely after the first debate and mostly after the President’s coronavirus infection was made public.”

A little history is required to show how dishonest this poll is. The Reagan-Mondale landslide provides all the context that’s required. In 1984, President Reagan gethered 58.77% of the vote, compared to Mondale’s 40.56% of the vote. Nobody in their right mind thinks that Joe Biden will win by the same margin that Reagan won by. You’d have to be exceptionally stupid to think that. That’s before thinking about how little enthusiasm there is for Biden. Today, Biden held a unity event in Gettysburg, PA. There were more Trump supporters outside the Biden event than there were Biden supporters at the event:

That’s before thinking about the Trump/RNC GOTV operation. This afternoon, Tim Murtaugh told Bill Hemmer that the RNC GOTV volunteer army has 2,300,000 volunteers and that those 2,300,000 volunteers have made 119,000,000 voter contacts:

With that much enthusiasm and that big of a GOTV army, why would anyone think that Biden is even competitive? Biden doesn’t have a GOTV operation, at least nothing this muscular. When Biden holds a major event in the most important battleground state for Democrats and more Trump supporters show up than Biden supporters, that’s an indicator that the Biden campaign isn’t a serious operation.

CNN can run all the Fake News polls it wants. It won’t change reality.

Tons of bandwidth has been consumed talking about President Trump. I won’t waste time talking about who has momentum, who’s getting defensive or the usual horserace chatter. Instead, I’ll write about the important stuff, as reported by Salena Zito, the best grassroots political reporter of my lifetime.

Salena’s latest report highlights why President Trump will win this presidential election. The article starts by saying “On Nov. 9, 2016, Rick Potter was driving to the airport, having spent the last two weeks in Western Pennsylvania campaigning for Donald Trump, when his phone rang. Jerry Morgan, a longtime Republican grassroots strategist, was on the line. “Potter, I’m glad I caught you,” he said. “I’ve been up all night long, analyzing the results from Pennsylvania. We won by less than 1 percent, 40,000 votes. I’m absolutely convinced if the Mighty American Strike Force had not been here for the past 15 days Trump would not have carried Pennsylvania.”

The RNC’s GOTV operation is massive. This time 4 years ago, the RNC supplied the GOTV troops. This time around, President Trump and then-Campaign Manager Brad Parscale started putting together a 2,000,000-volunteer army for getting out the vote back around the start of the Mueller investigation. This is the nonglamorous part of campaigns but it’s the most important part of winning campaigns.

It isn’t that Democrats don’t have a GOTV operation. It’s that the Mighty American Strike Force has a different method for campaigning:

But Potter believes his group is different. “There is something that sets our volunteers apart from other volunteers and that is their personal passion,” he said. “They are willing to pay their own way to travel to these states, pay for their own hotels, and get up at the crack of dawn to make the calls and knock the doors sometimes for 18 hours of every day for 15 days. That kind of commitment shines through when they talk to people they are trying to persuade.”

President Trump is a different type of campaigner, too. Nothing about him says ‘typical politician.’ Everything about him says ‘let’s get things done.’ In a nation that’s thirsty for someone to roll up their sleeves and put the American people first, President Trump isn’t a difficult product to sell. That’s why, I think, why President Trump always attracts big crowds.