Archive for the ‘RNC’ Category

For months, I’ve heard that this year’s presidential election would be a base election. I’ve been skeptical of that declaration, to say the least. Saturday, President Trump held a rally at the Pittsburgh-Butler Airport. According to the Secret Service, more than 57,000 people attended the rally. According to RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel’s tweet, Democrats have reason to worry:

One-fourth of the crowd at Butler didn’t vote in 2016. That’s almost 14,000 new votes from Butler alone. Newt Gingrich puts things into perspective in this article:

A victory for Donald Trump would be an American populist uprising against all the large systems that would sell out to the Chinese, give up the American dream, and suppress the political right.

But will President Trump be re-elected? I think so. If you examine the crowds at the president’s rallies, you’ll find not only a significant number of people who have never before voted but also many Democrats. Plus, in virtually every state-wide poll, we see Trump, at a minimum, doubling his share of the African-American vote.

President Trump’s share of the Hispanic vote is increasing, too. That’s mostly because of his economic record but it’s also due to his American Dream Plan. While Joe Biden says that he’ll unite the nation, President Trump has brought people of different backgrounds together through prosperity.

President Trump has expanded his base through outreach. It’ll become apparent when votes start getting announced.

It’s becoming obvious that President Trump’s crowds are getting bigger or they’re staying the same. Whether he’s campaigning in Lansing, MI, Goodyear, AZ or Omaha, NE, the people turn out. During his presidency, President Trump would try to do a rally about every other week. It was common knowledge that there were people that would follow him from place-to-place. That helped inflate the attendance numbers a little.

That isn’t happening anymore. At the start of this week, President Trump made 3 campaign stops in Pennsylvania. On Tuesday, he campaigned in Michigan, Wisconsin and Omaha, NE. He made campaign appearences in Bullhead City, AZ:

then Goodyear, AZ:

The day before the Arizona rallies, Omaha’s rally was gigantic:

This picture of Biden’s Soul of the Nation rally in Coconut Creek, FL says everything:

To steal a phrase that former Education Secretary Bill Bennett coined, the crowd at the Biden rally “went on for as far as the arm could stretch.” The statistics from the Trump rallies show that President Trump’s base is expanding. The number of people who weren’t Republicans that attended the rallies exceeded 30,200 people. Both states have large Hispanic populations so it isn’t a stretch to think that 20,000-25,000 of those that weren’t Republicans are Hispanics.

This isn’t a base election. This is a wave election. Specifically, there’s a red wave heading the Democrats’ direction. Happy days will soon be here again.

Thank God for Ronna McDaniel’s twitter feed. Without the statistics from President Trump’s rallies, I’d have nothing but worthless media polls to base my political opinions on. Friday, President Trump made campaign stops in The Villages, FL and Pensacola, FL. According to McDaniel’s reports, both rallies added new Trump voters:

President Trump, aka the Executive Branch’s Energizer Bunny, isn’t slowing down. President Trump has held 2 rallies on Saturday thus far and still plans on holding a third rally tonight. Then it’s more rallies in battleground states each day until Election Day. Chairwoman McDaniel is doing a great job running the RNC and getting out these statistics. President Trump is the best presidential campaigner, at least in terms of energy and enthusiastic crowds.

Based on the size of President Trump’s rallies and Ronna McDaniel’s statistics, it’s pretty obvious that the polls are pretty wrong. The sole exception to that is the Trafalgar Group’s polling.

Next weekend, expect my predictions post. I want to see a few more days worth of data before making another prediction. This I’ll guarantee, though: My predictions likely won’t line up with the MSM’s predictions.

Paul Bedard’s article is another in a lengthy list of articles that dig beneath the numbers put forth by the polls. That’s why it’s such worthwhile reading. Paul’s article starts by saying “In the 13 reelection events since returning to the campaign trail following his COVID-19 diagnosis, President Trump has attracted more than 167,000 rally goers, many of them first-time voters and even more who are not Republicans.” That’s an average of almost 13,000 people per event.

It continues, saying “According to GOP rally data posted by Republican Party Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel, the Trump airport campaign events strongly suggest that he is building out his base and that media reports the president is only talking to his core constituency are wrong.” I’m perfectly content if the MSM thinks that this is a fight of the Democrats’ base vs. the Republicans’ base. That isn’t the match-up that’s happening. That’s why most of the polls are wrong. On November 3, the MSM will be wrong again. Here’s what RNC Chairperson Ronna McDaniel tweeted recently:

The thing that’s worth paying attention to is the fact that one-fourth of the people at the Trump rally in Sanford didn’t vote in 2016. The question that hasn’t gotten asked is this: why were they activated to vote in 2020? One-seventh of the people at the Trump rally in Sanford haven’t voted since 2010. Why are they voting now? This video featuring CNBC’s Steve Kornacki is definitely worth watching:

Don’t trust the polls. They’re as worthless as the initial COVID models were. Between the new voters registering and true moderate Democrats voting for Trump, this election has a shot at being a pretty good year for Republicans nationwide.

This article highlights the matchup of the final 2 weeks of the presidential campaign. The article starts by saying “Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden had nearly three times as much cash in his campaign coffers than President Trump at the start of this month, according to the latest fundraising filings from both major party nominees.” Next, it says “The former vice president’s campaign had more than $177 million cash on hand as of Sept. 30, according to a filing with the Federal Election Commission on Tuesday evening. Trump’s reelection campaign reported $63.1 million in the bank.”

The Trump volunteer army numbers 2,500,000. That’s the biggest volunteer army in the history of US politics. They’ve made over 130,000,000 voter contacts thus far. The article doesn’t talk about the power of President Trump’s rallies or the importance of a compelling message. It also didn’t talk about the lazy campaign that former Vice President Biden has run.

This segment of The Story highlights the Trafalgar Group’s polling. What’s important is that Trafalgar doesn’t use the same methods as the network polling. It’s worth noting that the network polling in 2016 was virtually worthless. Trafalgar’s was very accurate. Trafalgar correctly identified the hidden Trump voters in 2016 that the networks didn’t. But I digress.

President Trump was outspent by Hillary 4 years ago. Thankfully, there never was a Hillary administration. What Trump had going for him were his rallies and the RNC GOTV effort. After his election, President Trump installed Ronna McDaniel as RNC Chairperson. That was a brilliant decision. He also started recruiting volunteers for his 2020 campaign. Thanks to these decisions, President Trump started putting together a GOTV operation that’s unprecedented.

All the pundits complaining about the mistakes that President Trump is supposedly making will find out Election Night that they’re wrong again. President Trump’s understanding of the American people is unsurpassed. When President Trump goes after Hunter Biden’s corruption, what he’s actually doing is draining the Swamp. That’s one of his core promises. Promises made, promises kept. They’ll never learn.

In his final address from the Oval Office, Ronald Reagan said that he never won a victory that the American people didn’t win for him first. President Trump is the leader of this populist movement but he didn’t start the movement. Trusting him is the equivalent of trusting the movement he’s leading to victory.

I trust President Trump’s instincts. You should, too.

Katie Pavlich’s latest Townhall column should frighten the daylights out of the Biden campaign. This afternoon, a Biden surrogate said that rally attendance doesn’t equal votes. I disagree with that. I wrote here about something that Brad Parscale said the day before the New Hampshire Primary.

Parscale said “96.6% of the people who attend a Trump rally wind up voting for him.” Additionally, Parscale said that “if a person who attends a Trump rally and who makes a contribution, the chances of that voter returning and voting for Trump jumps to 98.4%.” That sounds to me like attending a Trump rally eventually turns into voting for President Trump. But I digress. Back to the Pavlich article. She quoted RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel’s tweet:

This isn’t a fluke. It’s been happening at Trump rally after Trump rally. If it happens occasionally, it’s a bit fluky. If it happens frequently, it’s a pattern. This fits as a pattern.

This is from today:

One last tweet:

Put these statistics together points to one thing — a solid Trump victory. Hopefully, that equates to unified GOP governance. Finally, what these statistics don’t point to is a blue wave. You can write that wave off.

CNN is expanding their Fake News franchise to not just include ‘Fake News Bombshell’ coverage but to also include ‘Fake News Polling. This poll shouldn’t get respect from serious people. News people and pundits like prefacing their polling by saying that polls are snapshots. That’s occasionally true. This time, that isn’t the case.

This time, CNN reports that “Joe Biden’s advantage over President Donald Trump has expanded and the former vice president now holds his widest lead of the cycle with less than a month remaining before Election Day, according to a new nationwide CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. Among likely voters, 57% say they back Biden and 41% Trump in the poll that was conducted entirely after the first debate and mostly after the President’s coronavirus infection was made public.”

A little history is required to show how dishonest this poll is. The Reagan-Mondale landslide provides all the context that’s required. In 1984, President Reagan gethered 58.77% of the vote, compared to Mondale’s 40.56% of the vote. Nobody in their right mind thinks that Joe Biden will win by the same margin that Reagan won by. You’d have to be exceptionally stupid to think that. That’s before thinking about how little enthusiasm there is for Biden. Today, Biden held a unity event in Gettysburg, PA. There were more Trump supporters outside the Biden event than there were Biden supporters at the event:

That’s before thinking about the Trump/RNC GOTV operation. This afternoon, Tim Murtaugh told Bill Hemmer that the RNC GOTV volunteer army has 2,300,000 volunteers and that those 2,300,000 volunteers have made 119,000,000 voter contacts:

With that much enthusiasm and that big of a GOTV army, why would anyone think that Biden is even competitive? Biden doesn’t have a GOTV operation, at least nothing this muscular. When Biden holds a major event in the most important battleground state for Democrats and more Trump supporters show up than Biden supporters, that’s an indicator that the Biden campaign isn’t a serious operation.

CNN can run all the Fake News polls it wants. It won’t change reality.

Tons of bandwidth has been consumed talking about President Trump. I won’t waste time talking about who has momentum, who’s getting defensive or the usual horserace chatter. Instead, I’ll write about the important stuff, as reported by Salena Zito, the best grassroots political reporter of my lifetime.

Salena’s latest report highlights why President Trump will win this presidential election. The article starts by saying “On Nov. 9, 2016, Rick Potter was driving to the airport, having spent the last two weeks in Western Pennsylvania campaigning for Donald Trump, when his phone rang. Jerry Morgan, a longtime Republican grassroots strategist, was on the line. “Potter, I’m glad I caught you,” he said. “I’ve been up all night long, analyzing the results from Pennsylvania. We won by less than 1 percent, 40,000 votes. I’m absolutely convinced if the Mighty American Strike Force had not been here for the past 15 days Trump would not have carried Pennsylvania.”

The RNC’s GOTV operation is massive. This time 4 years ago, the RNC supplied the GOTV troops. This time around, President Trump and then-Campaign Manager Brad Parscale started putting together a 2,000,000-volunteer army for getting out the vote back around the start of the Mueller investigation. This is the nonglamorous part of campaigns but it’s the most important part of winning campaigns.

It isn’t that Democrats don’t have a GOTV operation. It’s that the Mighty American Strike Force has a different method for campaigning:

But Potter believes his group is different. “There is something that sets our volunteers apart from other volunteers and that is their personal passion,” he said. “They are willing to pay their own way to travel to these states, pay for their own hotels, and get up at the crack of dawn to make the calls and knock the doors sometimes for 18 hours of every day for 15 days. That kind of commitment shines through when they talk to people they are trying to persuade.”

President Trump is a different type of campaigner, too. Nothing about him says ‘typical politician.’ Everything about him says ‘let’s get things done.’ In a nation that’s thirsty for someone to roll up their sleeves and put the American people first, President Trump isn’t a difficult product to sell. That’s why, I think, why President Trump always attracts big crowds.

For the third straight night, the Republican National Convention unveiled a new rising star. This time, the rising star’s name is Madison Cawthorn. He’s running for current White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows’ seat in North Carolina’s Eleventh District. Last night, he gave a passion-filled speech about the adversity he’s overcome in his young life.

The real estate investment CEO, 25, recounted his own compelling life story where he was left paralyzed and wheelchair-bound after a car accident at the age of 18 before. Cawthorn sent shockwaves through Washington in June when he unexpectedly won the GOP primary runoff in a North Carolina congressional seat left vacant by White House chief of staff Mark Meadows.

“At 20, I thought about giving up. However, I knew I could still make a difference. My accident gave me new eyes to see, and new ears to hear,” he said on the third night of the convention, themed “Land of Heroes.” “At 20, I made a choice. In 2020, our country has a choice. We can give up on the American idea, or we can work together to make our imperfect union more perfect,” he continued.

Already, Cawthorn is driving Democrats nuts:

“PBS NewsHour” correspondent Yamiche Alcindor was heavily criticized late Wednesday over a tweet describing GOP House candidate Madison Cawthorn standing at the conclusion of his Republican National Convention remarks as a “direct rebuke” to those protesting social injustice. Cawthorn, who was partially paralyzed in a 2014 car accident and uses a wheelchair, closed his speech by urging Americans not to “cower to a mob,” and to “kneel before God but stand for our flag.

“Be a radical for liberty and be a radical for our republic for which I stand, one nation under God, with liberty and justice for all,” Cawthorn said as he rose from his wheelchair and stood behind a walker.

This is Mr. Cawthorn’s speech:

Monday night was Sen. Tim Scott’s nationwide coming-out party. Tuesday night was Kentucky Attorney General Daniel Cameron’s nationwide introduction. Last night was Mr. Cawthorn’s turn in the spotlight. This trio is filled with charisma, talent and an unlimited future.

Kim Klacik’s viral video has paid off bigtime. According to this article, Ms. Klacik will speak at the Republican National Convention Monday night:

Kim Klacik, the Republican running for Maryland’s 7th Congressional District, will speak during the first night of the Republican National Convention, according to a Trump campaign announcement Sunday. Klacik has sparked national attention several times, including when she documented Baltimore blight last summer, causing President Trump to call the city “rat-infested” and blaming then-Congressman Elijah Cummings.

If you haven’t seen Ms. Klacik’s video, then you’ve either been comatose or you just landed here from another planet. This explains why I’d say that:

Her new ad for her congressional race went viral recently as well, seen and shared by hundreds of thousands of people.

This weekend, she appeared as a guest on Gov. Mike Huckabee’s show:

Then there’s this:

The Monday night schedule isn’t star-studded in the way that Democrats did their convention. Instead, Republicans are featuring real people who’ve benefited from President Trump’s policies. I’ll just say that people should have some tissues handy for Monday night.