Archive for the ‘RNC’ Category

Thank God for Ronna McDaniel’s twitter feed. Without the statistics from President Trump’s rallies, I’d have nothing but worthless media polls to base my political opinions on. Friday, President Trump made campaign stops in The Villages, FL and Pensacola, FL. According to McDaniel’s reports, both rallies added new Trump voters:


President Trump, aka the Executive Branch’s Energizer Bunny, isn’t slowing down. President Trump has held 2 rallies on Saturday thus far and still plans on holding a third rally tonight. Then it’s more rallies in battleground states each day until Election Day. Chairwoman McDaniel is doing a great job running the RNC and getting out these statistics. President Trump is the best presidential campaigner, at least in terms of energy and enthusiastic crowds.

Based on the size of President Trump’s rallies and Ronna McDaniel’s statistics, it’s pretty obvious that the polls are pretty wrong. The sole exception to that is the Trafalgar Group’s polling.

Next weekend, expect my predictions post. I want to see a few more days worth of data before making another prediction. This I’ll guarantee, though: My predictions likely won’t line up with the MSM’s predictions.

Paul Bedard’s article is another in a lengthy list of articles that dig beneath the numbers put forth by the polls. That’s why it’s such worthwhile reading. Paul’s article starts by saying “In the 13 reelection events since returning to the campaign trail following his COVID-19 diagnosis, President Trump has attracted more than 167,000 rally goers, many of them first-time voters and even more who are not Republicans.” That’s an average of almost 13,000 people per event.

It continues, saying “According to GOP rally data posted by Republican Party Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel, the Trump airport campaign events strongly suggest that he is building out his base and that media reports the president is only talking to his core constituency are wrong.” I’m perfectly content if the MSM thinks that this is a fight of the Democrats’ base vs. the Republicans’ base. That isn’t the match-up that’s happening. That’s why most of the polls are wrong. On November 3, the MSM will be wrong again. Here’s what RNC Chairperson Ronna McDaniel tweeted recently:


The thing that’s worth paying attention to is the fact that one-fourth of the people at the Trump rally in Sanford didn’t vote in 2016. The question that hasn’t gotten asked is this: why were they activated to vote in 2020? One-seventh of the people at the Trump rally in Sanford haven’t voted since 2010. Why are they voting now? This video featuring CNBC’s Steve Kornacki is definitely worth watching:

Don’t trust the polls. They’re as worthless as the initial COVID models were. Between the new voters registering and true moderate Democrats voting for Trump, this election has a shot at being a pretty good year for Republicans nationwide.

This article highlights the matchup of the final 2 weeks of the presidential campaign. The article starts by saying “Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden had nearly three times as much cash in his campaign coffers than President Trump at the start of this month, according to the latest fundraising filings from both major party nominees.” Next, it says “The former vice president’s campaign had more than $177 million cash on hand as of Sept. 30, according to a filing with the Federal Election Commission on Tuesday evening. Trump’s reelection campaign reported $63.1 million in the bank.”

The Trump volunteer army numbers 2,500,000. That’s the biggest volunteer army in the history of US politics. They’ve made over 130,000,000 voter contacts thus far. The article doesn’t talk about the power of President Trump’s rallies or the importance of a compelling message. It also didn’t talk about the lazy campaign that former Vice President Biden has run.

This segment of The Story highlights the Trafalgar Group’s polling. What’s important is that Trafalgar doesn’t use the same methods as the network polling. It’s worth noting that the network polling in 2016 was virtually worthless. Trafalgar’s was very accurate. Trafalgar correctly identified the hidden Trump voters in 2016 that the networks didn’t. But I digress.

President Trump was outspent by Hillary 4 years ago. Thankfully, there never was a Hillary administration. What Trump had going for him were his rallies and the RNC GOTV effort. After his election, President Trump installed Ronna McDaniel as RNC Chairperson. That was a brilliant decision. He also started recruiting volunteers for his 2020 campaign. Thanks to these decisions, President Trump started putting together a GOTV operation that’s unprecedented.

All the pundits complaining about the mistakes that President Trump is supposedly making will find out Election Night that they’re wrong again. President Trump’s understanding of the American people is unsurpassed. When President Trump goes after Hunter Biden’s corruption, what he’s actually doing is draining the Swamp. That’s one of his core promises. Promises made, promises kept. They’ll never learn.

In his final address from the Oval Office, Ronald Reagan said that he never won a victory that the American people didn’t win for him first. President Trump is the leader of this populist movement but he didn’t start the movement. Trusting him is the equivalent of trusting the movement he’s leading to victory.

I trust President Trump’s instincts. You should, too.

Katie Pavlich’s latest Townhall column should frighten the daylights out of the Biden campaign. This afternoon, a Biden surrogate said that rally attendance doesn’t equal votes. I disagree with that. I wrote here about something that Brad Parscale said the day before the New Hampshire Primary.

Parscale said “96.6% of the people who attend a Trump rally wind up voting for him.” Additionally, Parscale said that “if a person who attends a Trump rally and who makes a contribution, the chances of that voter returning and voting for Trump jumps to 98.4%.” That sounds to me like attending a Trump rally eventually turns into voting for President Trump. But I digress. Back to the Pavlich article. She quoted RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel’s tweet:


This isn’t a fluke. It’s been happening at Trump rally after Trump rally. If it happens occasionally, it’s a bit fluky. If it happens frequently, it’s a pattern. This fits as a pattern.

This is from today:


One last tweet:


Put these statistics together points to one thing — a solid Trump victory. Hopefully, that equates to unified GOP governance. Finally, what these statistics don’t point to is a blue wave. You can write that wave off.

CNN is expanding their Fake News franchise to not just include ‘Fake News Bombshell’ coverage but to also include ‘Fake News Polling. This poll shouldn’t get respect from serious people. News people and pundits like prefacing their polling by saying that polls are snapshots. That’s occasionally true. This time, that isn’t the case.

This time, CNN reports that “Joe Biden’s advantage over President Donald Trump has expanded and the former vice president now holds his widest lead of the cycle with less than a month remaining before Election Day, according to a new nationwide CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. Among likely voters, 57% say they back Biden and 41% Trump in the poll that was conducted entirely after the first debate and mostly after the President’s coronavirus infection was made public.”

A little history is required to show how dishonest this poll is. The Reagan-Mondale landslide provides all the context that’s required. In 1984, President Reagan gethered 58.77% of the vote, compared to Mondale’s 40.56% of the vote. Nobody in their right mind thinks that Joe Biden will win by the same margin that Reagan won by. You’d have to be exceptionally stupid to think that. That’s before thinking about how little enthusiasm there is for Biden. Today, Biden held a unity event in Gettysburg, PA. There were more Trump supporters outside the Biden event than there were Biden supporters at the event:

That’s before thinking about the Trump/RNC GOTV operation. This afternoon, Tim Murtaugh told Bill Hemmer that the RNC GOTV volunteer army has 2,300,000 volunteers and that those 2,300,000 volunteers have made 119,000,000 voter contacts:

With that much enthusiasm and that big of a GOTV army, why would anyone think that Biden is even competitive? Biden doesn’t have a GOTV operation, at least nothing this muscular. When Biden holds a major event in the most important battleground state for Democrats and more Trump supporters show up than Biden supporters, that’s an indicator that the Biden campaign isn’t a serious operation.

CNN can run all the Fake News polls it wants. It won’t change reality.

Tons of bandwidth has been consumed talking about President Trump. I won’t waste time talking about who has momentum, who’s getting defensive or the usual horserace chatter. Instead, I’ll write about the important stuff, as reported by Salena Zito, the best grassroots political reporter of my lifetime.

Salena’s latest report highlights why President Trump will win this presidential election. The article starts by saying “On Nov. 9, 2016, Rick Potter was driving to the airport, having spent the last two weeks in Western Pennsylvania campaigning for Donald Trump, when his phone rang. Jerry Morgan, a longtime Republican grassroots strategist, was on the line. “Potter, I’m glad I caught you,” he said. “I’ve been up all night long, analyzing the results from Pennsylvania. We won by less than 1 percent, 40,000 votes. I’m absolutely convinced if the Mighty American Strike Force had not been here for the past 15 days Trump would not have carried Pennsylvania.”

The RNC’s GOTV operation is massive. This time 4 years ago, the RNC supplied the GOTV troops. This time around, President Trump and then-Campaign Manager Brad Parscale started putting together a 2,000,000-volunteer army for getting out the vote back around the start of the Mueller investigation. This is the nonglamorous part of campaigns but it’s the most important part of winning campaigns.

It isn’t that Democrats don’t have a GOTV operation. It’s that the Mighty American Strike Force has a different method for campaigning:

But Potter believes his group is different. “There is something that sets our volunteers apart from other volunteers and that is their personal passion,” he said. “They are willing to pay their own way to travel to these states, pay for their own hotels, and get up at the crack of dawn to make the calls and knock the doors sometimes for 18 hours of every day for 15 days. That kind of commitment shines through when they talk to people they are trying to persuade.”

President Trump is a different type of campaigner, too. Nothing about him says ‘typical politician.’ Everything about him says ‘let’s get things done.’ In a nation that’s thirsty for someone to roll up their sleeves and put the American people first, President Trump isn’t a difficult product to sell. That’s why, I think, why President Trump always attracts big crowds.

For the third straight night, the Republican National Convention unveiled a new rising star. This time, the rising star’s name is Madison Cawthorn. He’s running for current White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows’ seat in North Carolina’s Eleventh District. Last night, he gave a passion-filled speech about the adversity he’s overcome in his young life.

The real estate investment CEO, 25, recounted his own compelling life story where he was left paralyzed and wheelchair-bound after a car accident at the age of 18 before. Cawthorn sent shockwaves through Washington in June when he unexpectedly won the GOP primary runoff in a North Carolina congressional seat left vacant by White House chief of staff Mark Meadows.

“At 20, I thought about giving up. However, I knew I could still make a difference. My accident gave me new eyes to see, and new ears to hear,” he said on the third night of the convention, themed “Land of Heroes.” “At 20, I made a choice. In 2020, our country has a choice. We can give up on the American idea, or we can work together to make our imperfect union more perfect,” he continued.

Already, Cawthorn is driving Democrats nuts:

“PBS NewsHour” correspondent Yamiche Alcindor was heavily criticized late Wednesday over a tweet describing GOP House candidate Madison Cawthorn standing at the conclusion of his Republican National Convention remarks as a “direct rebuke” to those protesting social injustice. Cawthorn, who was partially paralyzed in a 2014 car accident and uses a wheelchair, closed his speech by urging Americans not to “cower to a mob,” and to “kneel before God but stand for our flag.

“Be a radical for liberty and be a radical for our republic for which I stand, one nation under God, with liberty and justice for all,” Cawthorn said as he rose from his wheelchair and stood behind a walker.

This is Mr. Cawthorn’s speech:

Monday night was Sen. Tim Scott’s nationwide coming-out party. Tuesday night was Kentucky Attorney General Daniel Cameron’s nationwide introduction. Last night was Mr. Cawthorn’s turn in the spotlight. This trio is filled with charisma, talent and an unlimited future.

Kim Klacik’s viral video has paid off bigtime. According to this article, Ms. Klacik will speak at the Republican National Convention Monday night:

Kim Klacik, the Republican running for Maryland’s 7th Congressional District, will speak during the first night of the Republican National Convention, according to a Trump campaign announcement Sunday. Klacik has sparked national attention several times, including when she documented Baltimore blight last summer, causing President Trump to call the city “rat-infested” and blaming then-Congressman Elijah Cummings.

If you haven’t seen Ms. Klacik’s video, then you’ve either been comatose or you just landed here from another planet. This explains why I’d say that:

Her new ad for her congressional race went viral recently as well, seen and shared by hundreds of thousands of people.

This weekend, she appeared as a guest on Gov. Mike Huckabee’s show:

Then there’s this:

The Monday night schedule isn’t star-studded in the way that Democrats did their convention. Instead, Republicans are featuring real people who’ve benefited from President Trump’s policies. I’ll just say that people should have some tissues handy for Monday night.

Yesterday, Bernie Sanders reported that he’d “raised $46.5 million, which I wrote about here.” That’s quite a haul. That being said, the Trump/RNC digital fundraising for February was pretty extraordinary, too:

The fundraising numbers for February are in, and the RNC and Trump campaign saw their largest digital fundraising hauls since 2016. According to the Daily Caller: Trump’s reelection campaign and the Republican National Committee raised upwards of $86 million in February, making it the largest digital fundraising monthly haul since 2016.

Additionally, the joint Trump/RNC account has $195,000,000 Cash-on-Hand. Then there’s this:

Republicans raised more than $3 million per day for the entire month. The campaign has raised more than $600 million since the start of 2019 and currently has more than $225 million cash on hand. According to Monday’s announcement, the campaign has gathered more than 4 million voter contacts this cycle in conjunction with the RNC and authorized joint fundraising committees.

The thing that I look at most closely is the number of voter contacts. I’m also paying attention to the size of the Trump rallies. According to Brad Parscale, Trump’s campaign manager, 96.6% of the people who attend a Trump rally wind up voting for him. Additionally, Parscale said that if a person who attends a Trump rally and who makes a contribution, the chances of that voter returning and voting for Trump jumps to 98.4%.

Finally, Republicans are holding voter registration drives at these events. They break things down into categories. For instance, they track what percentage of new voter registrations are from people who haven’t voted recently. I don’t have the number of people who fit that category but it’s a significant percentage of the new registrations.

Still, with so much riding on this election, Republicans must work hard through election day. Bernie’s voters are supermotivated and we can’t afford to get complacent.

Democrats know that winning the White House in 2020 is difficult if they get swept in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania. At this point in the campaign, Ohio is pretty much out of the Democrats’ reach so let’s scratch that state off the battleground list. Pennsylvania is still definitely a toss-up state, which brings us to Florida.

Andrew Gillum, the Democrats’ gubernatorial candidate, “has played a vocal role in registering voters in Florida through 2019.” Despite that high-profile help in registering voters, “state data shows Republicans in the swing state are far outpacing Democrats when it comes to the raw number of registered voters. Between January and September 2019, the latest month for which data is available, Republicans registered a net 23,084 new voters in the state, compared to 10,731 Democrats, according to the Florida Division of Elections.”

Though those are impressive statistics important to Florida, this is important nationwide:


When Democrats argue, as they did at last week’s debate, that the Trump-GOP economy helps only the 1%, this refutes the Democrats’ lies. Listening to this BS is difficult:

President Trump isn’t just rallying his base. He’s growing that base through one great policy after another. Policies that are lifting African-Americans out of poverty will extend President Trump’s base. The people benefiting from President Trump’s policies know that the stuff Biden is peddling is BS. Without a coherent economic message, the Democrats are sunk, in Florida and elsewhere.

Democrats will undoubtedly spend lots of money trying to win Florida. That’s a losing strategy because of this:


The DNC literally can’t afford to get into a spending fight with the RNC. That’s a losing fight if ever there was one. At this point, the Trump-RNC campaign is hitting on all cylinders. Here’s proof:


Adding 600,000 new small dollar donors equals 600,000 additional GOP voters. Whatever genius thought it smart to impeach President Trump is likely looking for a new job right now. That wasn’t the brightest decision in presidential campaign history.

The Democrats were already fighting an uphill fight to unseat President Trump. That’s thanks to the power of incumbency and a great economy. With Democrats moving even further left and with them impeaching President Trump with just hearsay testimony, Democrats just made that steep hill a little more difficult to climb.