Archive for the ‘RNC’ Category

Saying that President Trump is an embattled president is somewhat accurate, though definitely inaccurate, too. Let me explain with the help of this article. In the article, A.B. Stoddard highlights the fact that the RNC has outraised the DNC by an enormous amount. She also highlights the other advantages that Republicans have. This isn’t a ‘Republicans are doing well here but Democrats are doing well elsewhere’ situation. It’s a situation of the RNC pretty much dominating the entire landscape:

For months Democrats have worried about a potentially lethal combination of Trump’s incumbency advantage coupled with the unparalleled strength of the GOP organization — and that was before their newfound fear that they may not end up with a suitable nominee to take on even a deeply embattled Trump. While he rants on Twitter and holds campaign rallies, Democrats in a primary race get little notice or coverage. Meanwhile the Trump campaign is carpet-bombing Facebook with ads and the RNC is spreading a volunteer army across key swing states, all while breaking fundraising records allowing them to deploy critical resources nearly a year before a Democrat is nominated.

Dynamic fundraising eliminates a ton of sins. This isn’t just about fundraising, though. It’s about how that money is getting used. In this instance, it’s getting used wisely and for maximum impact:

In August, Democratic National Committee Chairman Tom Perez acknowledged the threat after the RNC tripled the amount the DNC raised in July. In an email he sent supporters sounding the alarm, he wrote that “our eventual nominee won’t stand a chance against Trump and the GOP’s fundraising machine unless we start making strategic, early investments right now.”

It was clear in September, when the RNC quadrupled the DNC total, that those investments have yet to materialize. September was the best non-election-year month for the RNC in history for either party, raising $27.3 million to the DNC’s $6.9 million. The RNC is carrying no debt; the DNC is carrying $7.2 million. The RNC has $59.2 million cash on hand while the DNC has $8.6 million. The RNC’s 2019 total is $168.7 million while the DNC has raised only $66.5 million this year.

That’s only part of the story. Here’s the important part of the story:

Impeachment has been a boon to GOP fundraising and grassroots organizing. Since the official start of impeachment, $10.3 million has been spent between the RNC and the Trump campaign in ads on air and online and the RNC has held 60 events in swing or Trump districts held by Democrats, and in Senate and gubernatorial races, just since Sept. 30.

For the 2020 campaign, RNC has staff deployed in 19 states including New Hampshire and New Mexico, with five regional communications directors and nine regional political directors. By Election Day there will be 2 million volunteers coordinated by 60,000 “fellows,” who are trained grassroots volunteers. In 2016 the RNC had 5,000 fellows, then in 2018 that grew to 25,000, and more than 30,000 additional fellows are being trained up now. Volunteers download an app, then go door to door in assigned teams that break down by state, then “turf,” then neighborhood. “We don’t care about offices,” said RNC spokesman Rick Gorka.

Watching Trump’s rallies, coupled with reading this article, it’s interesting to see how both things fit together. Most of the rallies have substantial numbers of people who haven’t been to a Trump rally before. Couple that with the data gathered and you’ve got a powerful 1-2 punch getting built.

In Arizona, now a swing state after decades trending red, the RNC will be tracking 207,284 so-called “disengagers” statewide, that is, people who voted in 2016 but not 2018. They already know, for example, their specific goal in “turf 24” outside of Maricopa County: to reach 14,537 swing voters they need to win over.

This money is being spent to build a strong GOTV operation. It’s also doing things that few other presidential campaigns have done. For instance, they’re doing voter registration drives to strengthen congressional and Senate candidates and incumbents. President Trump and the RNC want this to be a wave election up and down the ticket.

Though I haven’t seen anything communicating this goal, I’m betting that the RNC’s and the Trump campaign’s goal is to re-elect him, strengthen the Republicans’ majority in the Senate and retake the majority in the House. At this point, I think accomplishing all 3 things is possible. This isn’t a pipe dream. It’s a legitimate goal.

Anyone that watched President Trump’s 2016 campaign know that it was a shoestring operation. That year’s campaign doesn’t resemble this year’s campaign whatsoever. This article highlights in detail what the Trump-RNC alliance is doing:

Trump Victory, a joint operation comprised of the Trump campaign, the RNC and state Republican parties, kicked off a “National Week of Training” on Friday in a bid to train more than 6,000 volunteers and register voters in 14 states that Republicans have set their sights on for 2020.

Almost a month ago, Brad Parscale, President Trump’s campaign manager, told Martha MacCallum that they were attempting to build a 2,000,000 person army for door-knocking and manning the phone banks. If they accomplish that goal, they’ll be able to expand their targeted states by leaps and bounds.

Expanding Trump’s map puts Democrats on the defensive. It’s one thing if Democrats are just trying to flip Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan back into the blue column. It’s another thing if they have to flip those states while putting precious resources into states like Minnesota, Colorado, Virginia and New Hampshire.

I don’t doubt that Democrats will have a well-funded candidate. I’m skeptical, however, that they’ll have a top-tier candidate to support. Each of these candidates is, more or less, a check-the-boxes candidate. Enthusiasm that’s solely driven by hatred of the other party’s candidate isn’t unifying enough. That’s enough to solidify the Democrats’ base. It isn’t nearly enough to attract independents.

It’s difficult to picture any Democrat building the ground game that Trump’s campaign has already built. In 2016, they were just learning. This time, Trump’s campaign team has worked feverishly to build a muscular operation. Team Trump is already light years ahead of 2016. Watching this interview will give you a better understanding of the Trump campaign:

Ronna McDaniel told FNC’s Sandra Smith something that must’ve startled Democrats and excited Republicans. During the interview, McDaniel told Smith that “Listen, women right now can’t vote, but they can vote with their pocketbook. Over 50 percent of the smaller donations coming to the Trump campaign are from women. That’s more than any other Democrat.”

What makes that so significant is that the Trump campaign is getting tons of small-dollar contributions. Also, the Trump campaign is on target to raise the most money in the history of presidential campaigns. McDaniel made a bold prediction that’s worth noting when she predicted that “When the president goes to them in November of 2020 and he says, ‘Are you better off than you were four years ago?’ women are going to look at their lives and they’re going to say yes I am and they’re going to vote for him.'”

The Democrat nominee will be well-funded but they’ll be at a disadvantage, thanks in large part to the volunteer army that the campaign is recruiting, but also because they’ve already staffed their offices in DC and New York but also in each state across the nation. The Trump/RNC data operation is top notch, too.

On Tuesday Lara Trump told the crowd, “You don’t have to agree with everything that Donald Trump tweets. You don’t have to agree with the way that he delivers every single message. But you sure as heck are going to like the fact that you have a bit of a better life now thanks to this president.”

That’s one hell of a closing argument in 2020.

Saying that President Trump is raking in the cash for his re-election big is a gigantic understatement. According to The Hill’s article, President Trump raised $54,000,000 during the second quarter of 2019. Meanwhile, the RNC raised $51,000,000 in the same time period. Also according to the article, “President Trump’s reelection campaign and the Republican National Committee (RNC) announced Tuesday they had raised $105 million in the second quarter, a huge haul that is greater than what President Obama raised over a similar period in 2011.”

The Democrats face a daunting task this election cycle. First, they have to pick a candidate to challenge President Trump. Picking someone with the gravitas needed to defeat President Trump is a daunting task. Almost as difficult is raising enough money to build out their campaign operations. Good luck with that.

“Our massive fundraising success is a testament to the overwhelming support for President Trump,” Trump campaign manager Brad Parscale said in the release. “No Democrat candidate can match this level of enthusiasm or President Trump’s outstanding record of results.”

RNC Chairwoman Ronna Romney McDaniel added that this “record-breaking fundraising has allowed us to identify troves of new supporters online and continue investing in our unprecedented field program.”

President Trump’s message is resonating with voters. Further, enthusiasm for him is through the roof. It’ll be difficult for the Democrats to match President Trump’s enthusiasm and cash-on-hand.

The money is fantastic but I’m betting that Mr. Parscale is most delighted at the number of contributors. Each one of those contributions is a vote. At the end of the day, that’s the biggest benefit. The other thing that I’m betting is that the RNC and the Trump campaign are the armies of volunteers for the GOTV campaign.

This ties into another thing, namely the polling. Democrats keep saying that their candidates would defeat Trump before adding 6 words that change everything. Their full sentence is [fill in candidate name] would defeat President Trump “if the election was held today.” That’s like saying the New England Patriots wouldn’t have 6 Super Bowl championships if Tom Brady hadn’t pulled of all of those 4th quarter comebacks.

The bottom line is this: Republicans need to work hard from now through Election Day, 2020. If they do that, and they’d better, Democrats will have a miserable Election Night.

There’s no denying the fact that last week’s Kavanaugh hearing were a watershed moment in modern political history. Last night, Sean Hannity correctly told Karin Housley that it was a “game-changing moment.” This article goes into detail about suburban women’s reaction to the hearing.

For instance, Julie Kelly wrote “I asked several suburban moms to share their thoughts about the Democrats’ assault on Kavanaugh. Here is a sampling of their responses:
‘The whole process was shameful, an obvious political maneuver. Ford clearly had ‘something’ happen to her, and the Democrats capitalized on her pain. Their disingenuous actions actually hurt the real plight women face. It was a dark day for America on Thursday.'”

She continued:

“What does it say about me as a woman that I don’t feel such strong affiliation with the sisterhood that I therefore automatically believe every charge leveled at a man by a woman? Is it my training as a lawyer? I don’t think so. I think it is my years of being married to an honorable man, and my parenting of two young men who ‘know’ what is and isn’t expected of them in their treatment of their female peers.”

While I expect the RNC Chairwoman to put the best possible spin on what’s happening, it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that Democrats on the Senate Judiciary Committee misplayed their hand. This interview is quite telling:

“Democrats behavior in this process is truly disgusting and childish. I am appalled. I also watched Judge Kavanaugh’s rebuttal. I’ve read comments that ‘we don’t want a judge with that temperament on the bench!’ Really? I work in the legal system and that’s exactly the temperament I expect in a judge. I will vote in November no matter what. And there is no way I’d vote Democrat in this political climate.”

Republicans will have to play some defense in the next month. Still, they’ve got the opportunity to go on offense quite a bit thanks to how they’ve mishandled the Kavanaugh hearings

Ronna McDaniel’s op-ed is today’s must reading for people that’ve written off the GOP majority in the House. Personally, I’ve written more than a couple posts expressing my disbelief in that ‘conventional wisdom’. Let’s be clear abut this. Historically speaking, this should be a difficult year for Republicans. President Trump’s approval rating isn’t that high. Democrats are definitely energized.

That being said, Republicans are energized, too. We’ve got some great candidates running in the Senate. There’s a backlash against sanctuary city/state laws started in California. While Democrats will hold the governor’s chair in California, don’t be surprised if Republicans do much better than expected in California’s congressional races.

Chairwoman McDaniel’s op-ed highlights what the RNC is doing that isn’t getting much press. For instance, she wrote “Our permanent presence in dozens of states across the country will propel us to defy history come November. Six months out from Election Day, we have more than 300 permanent staff members organized and in place. They are helping us tap into the enthusiasm of grassroots supporters, all of whom are just as excited about President Trump as they were when they first elected him to office.”

This is the nuts-and-bolts part of campaigns that consultants rarely talk about but that makes huge differences in tight races. Don’t be surprised if the RNC’s ground game makes the difference between the GOP losing5-10 seats and Republicans breaking even in the House.

To ensure we defy history, the Republican National Committee is investing $250 million in our midterm election strategy. This is the largest ground game investment we’ve ever made in any cycle. Our field teams are recruiting new and enthusiastic volunteers for our Republican Leadership Initiative program, a competitive six-week program that trains the next generation of Republican grassroots leaders. These leadership fellows are our on the ground, helping us expand our party’s engagement in communities across the country.

Here’s what’s happened as a result of that investment:

To date, we’ve trained over 13,000 leadership fellows this cycle, far surpassing records we set even during presidential years, and we’ve made over 15 million voter contacts. These numbers speak for themselves, and it’s our permanent infrastructure that has enabled us to capitalize on excitement for President Trump and the Republican Party’s agenda.

The other component that Republicans have going for them that the Democrats don’t is the fact that Republicans have an appealing message and a list of accomplishments. Because the Democrats spent all their time resisting, they don’t have any accomplishments to brag about. When the campaigns begin in earnest, this election cycle will look a lot more like 2014 than anything else.

Don’t think that President Trump won’t highlight the Democrats’ lack of accomplishments on the campaign trail. I’m betting the proverbial ranch that he’ll torment Democrats for voting unanimously against the now-popular Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. This won’t be fun for Democrats to endure.

For the past 6-9 months, we’ve heard predictions that Democrats would retake the majority in the House and possibly in the Senate, too. According to James Freeman’s latest column, that’s looking less likely.

According to Freeman’s column, “Mr. Trump remains underwater on the general question of his handling of the presidency, with a majority in virtually every poll expressing disapproval. But he is showing increasing strength on the issue of the economy, which just happens to be the issue that frequently decides elections. This week, the Economist/YouGov survey shows him ten points above water, with 49% approving of his handling of the economy compared to only 39% who disapprove.”

As more people notice bigger monthly paychecks and as people feel the effects of cheaper electric bills, Trump’s approval rating will strengthen. That’s just the tip of the iceberg, though. The latest Star Tribune-Minnesota Poll isn’t great news for the DFL:

Minnesotans are more narrowly divided on whether they are likely to vote for a Democrat or a Republican in November’s congressional elections than the rest of the country. A new Star Tribune Minnesota Poll found that 47 percent are now inclined to vote for a Democrat, while 45 percent said they’ll probably vote for a Republican — a statistical tie given the poll’s 3.5 percentage point margin of error.

That’s great news for the MnGOP. This will help them hold the seats they currently have while giving them a shot at flipping Tim Walz’s seat in Southern Minnesota.

I’d be surprised if Democrats weren’t counting on flipping MN-3 and MN-2 while holding MN-1. If the DCCC’s dream isn’t realized, that’s a major blow to them retaking the House.

Why should 2018 be any different? When lawmakers enacted the Reagan tax cuts in 1981, Republicans blundered by agreeing to delay the implementation of many provisions. Without the immediate pro-growth boost, the U.S. economy shrank by nearly 2% in 1982 and voters registered their displeasure.

This notion that the party that holds the White House loses seats is statistically accurate but it isn’t automatic. Patterns are patterns until they aren’t anymore.

Ninety-five percent of Democrats and the same percentage of Republicans said they’re inclined to vote for candidates from their own parties. Among independents, 43 percent said they lean Democratic and an identical percentage said they’re more likely to vote for Republicans.

Based on the fact that the Minnesota Poll consistently oversamples Democrats, I’d argue that the DFL ought to be worried. This isn’t good news for the DFL.

If the economy keeps improving nationally, that will help Republicans across the nation. Additionally, the RNC has pulverized the DNC in terms of fundraising and organizing:

Perez started off his tenure with some lofty goals and inspiring promises. In addition to funding the Democrats’ national efforts for the midterms, the new chairman recognized that their state-level organization was in disrepair. He pledged an additional ten million dollar fund specifically allocated for state parties to rebuild and staff up for the 2018 battles. Thus far, however, Vice reports that it simply hasn’t happened. In fact, not only have they not sent ten million dollars to the state parties, they don’t even have ten million on hand.

It’s still a long ways off and momentum can shift at least 20 times between now and Election Day. Still, the fundraising numbers and the popularity of the Trump/GOP tax cuts are things Republicans can feel good about heading into 2018.

Finally, the Schumer Shutdown is hurting Democrats. While they’re fighting for illegal immigrants, Republicans are blistering them with criticisms. This video is mild compared to some of the McConnell speeches:

This is the most recent year that Democrats insist that they’ll retake the House. While it’s their best opportunity to retake it, that isn’t the same as saying they’re guaranteed to win.

Americans should view the negotiations between the Trump administration and the Democrats like a hostage negotiation. After all, Sen. Schumer is holding the U.S. military, the border patrol and the CHIP program hostage. By filibustering the CR Friday night, Sen. Schumer and his shills have held hostage the paychecks for our military, border patrol and first responders. With their actions, Democrats have earned the wrath of patriots from across the political spectrum. In addition to holding these paychecks hostage, the Democrats’ filibuster has left 9,000,000 vulnerable children more vulnerable by not voting to reauthorize CHIP for the next 6 years.

If you add the 2,000,000+ people serving in the military to the 9,000,000 vulnerable children, that’s quite the hostage taking.

If Democrats think this isn’t firing up the GOP base, they’re kidding themselves. If Democrats think that their filibuster isn’t turning off independents, they’re kidding themselves. Ronna Romney-McDaniel, the chair of the RNC, said essentially the same thing in this op-ed:

Last night, Senate Democrats shut down the United States government. They recklessly chose to jeopardize paychecks for our troops and border patrolmen to appease their far-left base. In triggering a totally unnecessary, easily avoidable shutdown, they put at stake the health insurance of nine million vulnerable children and a number of other critical programs, including veteran services and opioid treatment programs.

Part of the Democrats’ talking points is to say that Republicans control the White House, the House and the Senate. it’s true that they control the White House and the House of Representatives. They don’t control the Senate.

Republicans did their job and offered a solution to keep the government running, but they couldn’t stop the shutdown from happening on their own. Appropriations bills require 60 Senate votes to pass. With only 51 Republican senators, this means Democratic votes are necessary to secure funding.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) and his Democratic colleagues own this shutdown. The American people are very well aware that the Schumer shutdown rests squarely on his party’s shoulders. Their hypocrisy is on full display, as the same Democrats who once warned of the consequences of a shutdown eagerly embraced it this go around.

It’s worth noting that Republicans hold a majority in the Senate, which is useful in determining which bills get committee hearings. That simple majority is meaningless, though, when attempting to pass simple funding bills.

Democrats have used the filibuster to insist that President Trump sign a bill that includes amnesty for 700,000 illegal immigrants and millions of their relatives through chain migration. Fighting to protect illegal immigrants while not protecting vulnerable children is what despots do. The Democrats’ actions don’t rise to the level of what third-world dictators do but the Democrats’ actions are disgusting.

Many constituents of the Democrats rely on the government-funded programs that are being handicapped by the shutdown. Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.) put nearly 83,000 children’s health care at risk with her vote. Sen. Bob Casey (D-Penn.) did the same for more than 342,000 children, Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.) for nearly 45,000 children, and Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) for 66,000 children. Their constituents are going to demand answers.

Good luck explaining that away.

Sen. Mitch McConnell took to the Senate floor last night:

This paragraph especially jumped out at me:

None of my colleagues on the other side of the aisle can point to a single thing in it that they oppose. That is why a bipartisan majority voted for it last night. It would have passed smoothly and been sent on for the president’s signature. Except that the Democratic Leader took the extraordinary step of filibustering this bipartisan bill and initiating his very own government shutdown.

If Democrats want to continue filibustering this funding bill, they have that right. Senate rules permit it. Just because it’s legal doesn’t mean it’s smart, though. Democrats shouldn’t think that this isn’t turning off independents. Democrats shouldn’t think that this isn’t firing up the GOP base.

The Democrats’ foolish decision is doing both those things. Hell hath no fury like a bunch of voters who’ve gotten ignored by elitist Democrats who protect lawbreakers but don’t protect our troops and our most vulnerable.

Hillary Clinton should leave the national stage for her own good. After reading this article, I question whether Hillary deals with reality anymore. According to the article, “Democrat Hillary Clinton claimed Wednesday that the Republican Party was ‘imploding.'” It isn’t that I think she’s losing her mind. It’s that I think she isn’t that interested in the truth.

This article suggests that Hillary isn’t telling the truth, saying “The Republican National Committee broke a fundraising record and raised more than $100 million during the first nine months of 2017, fueled by small-dollar donors at the center of a grassroots movement. In a statement released by RNC Chairman Ronna McDaniel, the “record-breaking fundraising has been fueled by grassroots enthusiasm for President Trump and the Republican Party,” McClatchy reported.” Meanwhile, “The Democratic National Committee, meanwhile, had raised $46.3 million through the end of August, the Free Beacon reported.”

Not to be outdone, MSNBC jumped on the theme:

Reporter Kasie Hunt agreed with Joe Scarborough that Jeff Flake’s speech “will be remembered years from now”, saying “I think that’s right, Joe. I mean, I think this was — I think this was a day — my head was spinning by the end of the day.” Later, she said that Sen. Flake’s “words were incredibly serious.” She also threw in the opinion that Sen. Flake “was extremely well-liked.” At that point, Scarborough said that “This shows the insanity that has overtaken the Republican Party.”

Actually, Joe, what’s exposed is how little you’ve listened to the American people. Small-dollar donations to the RNC are pouring in. Republicans control both ends of Pennsylvania Ave and tons of governorships. Further, the GOP completely controls both houses of state legislatures in 30+ states. If that’s the definition of insanity, then the American people are voting for insanity all across the nation. HINT: That’s what elitism looks like.

Anyone that thinks that Tim Walz’s recent statements will help him get elected is kidding himself. Rep. Walz is a con artist. Those of us in Minnesota know that about Rep. Walz. According to this article, Rep. Walz said “The DNC wanted the message to be the ACA [Affordable Care Act] is working fine and don’t talk about the warts. I said I can’t do that because it’s failing my constituents in a lot of ways.”

Rep. Walz’s statement is transparent in that he’s a) voted for the ACA, b) criticized the AHCA and c) criticized the Senate Republicans’ health care bill. The thing is that Rep. Walz hasn’t lifted a finger to propose a solution that would fix the ACA. It’s one thing to whine about bills. It’s another thing to fix bills that are “failing my constituents in a lot of ways.” This is typical Democrat do-nothing complaining that don’t offer solutions.

I don’t know why Rep. Walz would make a statement like this while he’s running for governor. Saying that the ACA is failing his constituents in a lot of ways is a shortcut to alienating a huge part of the DFL primary voters. RNC Chairwoman Ronna Romney-McDaniel criticized Democrats obstruction in this video:

Here’s what she said:

It’s unfortunate because people are suffering across the country. Let’s look at the evolution of this, they passed 30,000 pages of legislation without reading it. They said you could keep your doctor. They said you can keep your healthcare plan. They said it was going to be affordable, and none of that has been true. And now, premiums have doubled across the country, you have insurers pulling out of marketplaces. People are suffering and Democrats are sitting on their hands when they created this problem. Republicans are working together. We have reached out to them, we want them involved in the process. It is unfortunate they have obstructed every step of the way and they are not putting the American people first.

Tim Walz fits that description perfectly. He voted to create this crisis, then voted multiple times against fixing the problem. Here’s the video of Rep. Walz whining about the ACA without offering a solution to fixing it:

I can’t picture a way for Walz to win the DFL gubernatorial primary. Until now, he’d been predicted to be the DFL frontrunner. I’ve got to think that his criticisms of the ACA will hurt him with primary voters.

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