Archive for the ‘Redistricting’ Category

When I wrote this post, I was ahead of the curve in noticing that President Trump helped lots of Republicans win their elections. Stephen Moore, though, did a better job with this article because he went into detail. In Moore’s article, he wrote “So, how deep were the losses for the Democrats? In the U.S. House, Nancy Pelosi thought her troops would gain 10 to 12 seats. Instead, they lost, at last count, nine.” That count will likely stretch higher in the coming days.

Moore continued, saying “But the real carnage was in the state houses. Hold on to your hats; here is the latest from our allies at the American Legislative Exchange Council. The GOP gained a total of 192 House and 40 Senate seats. Republicans flipped control of three chambers.” This isn’t like 2010, when Republicans demolished Democrats, winning 63 net seats in the House while flipping literally hundreds of Democrat-held seats.

The Democrats’ goal was to increase their majorities in state legislative bodies so they could transform the redistricting process. Eric Holder was put in-charge of the project. That failed. Now they’ll have to win through the state courts what they couldn’t win through the ballot box.

As a result of these big and improbable wins, Republicans now have majority control in both House and Senate chambers in 31 of 50 states. Democrats have control in only 18 states. That’s a map of the USA that looks awfully red throughout middle America, with only the rusting Northeast and the West Coast colored blue.

What is truly stunning about this story is that Democrats and liberal/progressive donors (Michael Bloomberg, George Soros, Mark Zuckerberg, et al.) poured hundreds of millions of dollars into the states to take over legislatures with unprecedented spending in Florida, Texas and Pennsylvania. The American Legislative Exchange Council president, Lisa Nelson, estimates that Democrats outspent Republicans “at least 3-to-1 in the states.” And all they got was a lousy T-shirt.

The thing that Democrats keep missing is the fact that their policies don’t appeal to people. Whether it’s the regulations, defunding the police or rejoining the Paris Climate Accord, the Democrats’ policies put America last.

Donald Trump’s coattails mattered because he drove turnout. Joe Biden got more votes in big cities but that didn’t change the redistricting equation. Until Democrats start appealing to blue collar voters, the redistricting equation won’t improve for Democrats.

It’s beginning to look like a historic year in terms of reapportionment after this year’s census. Once a decade, a census is taken to determine each state’s population. After that step in the process, Congress determines which states gain seats in the US House, which states lose seats and which states stay the same.

If this is right, California will lose a seat for the first time in its history. For the first time in its history, Montana will gain a seat. Prior to this year’s reapportionment, Montana always had a single at-large seat. Starting in 2022, they apparently will have 2 seats in the US House. According to this report, “California, Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and West Virginia are expected to lose one seat.”

The figures also suggest Texas will gain two congressional seats. Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina, and Oregon are each expected to gain one.

This is statistically fascinating:

Out of the four regions of the country, the South saw the largest growth. The growth was primarily driven by natural increase and net domestic migration. The Northeast region saw a population decrease, declining by about 63,000 people, which was mainly due to net domestic migration (minus 294,331).

To be blunt, people are voting with their mortgages to distance themselves from hardline progressive policies. The biggest gains were in the South:

Out of the four regions of the country, the South saw the largest growth. The growth was primarily driven by natural increase and net domestic migration.

That didn’t prevent politicians from polluting the report with partisanship:

State leaders attributed the loss to a shortage of housing. “Our failure to build enough housing is at the heart of CA’s challenges: It’s exploding housing costs; It’s fueling homelessness & poverty; It’s creating sprawl, increasing traffic, commutes & wildfire risk,” state Sen. Scott Wiener, a Democrat representing California’s 11th District, said in a statement.

“The cost of housing is the defining quality-of-life concern for people across this state. That’s why California passed the nation’s strongest statewide renter protection legislation to combat the housing crisis. #CaliforniaForAll,” Gov. Gavin Newsom said in a statement.

People left California because it’s turning into a pig sty. Why live where some homeless encampments are as big as some Midwest cities? Why live where the legislature passes laws that incentivize massive commercial theft? Why live at the edge of a breakout of the Bubonic Plague? Why live where the governor talks trash on TV, then doesn’t have a solution for the state’s many crises?

California set another first in that census as it didn’t gain a seat for the first time since it became a state.

The statistics don’t lie. First, California didn’t gain a seat in 2010 for the first time in state history, then lost a seat for the first time in California’s history this year. That’s 20 years of decline in California. Gov. Newsom can trash-talk all he wants but the statistics are the statistics. Total Democrat control has led to 20 years of precipitous declines in California’s reputation.