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I’m predicting that the Democrats’ campaign that focuses on criticizing the Trump/GOP tax cuts is on its last legs. This article doesn’t do anything to change my opinion of that. Tuesday night on Shannon Bream’s show, Guy Benson debated Jehmu Greene about the Trump/GOP tax cuts. It wasn’t a fair fight.

Ms. Greene argued that Democrats had lost ground in the generic ballot polling because they didn’t stay on offense. That’s a foolish argument. Benson picked up on that immediately, saying that “Democrats don’t have a messaging problem. They’ve got a reality problem.” That’s what I’ve been saying on LFR since the tax cuts passed. I’ll question whether this is entirely a Nancy Pelosi problem, though. At this point, that’s true. This fall, though, Nancy Pelosi will just be the icing on a very right, tasty chocolate cake. The ‘cake’ itself is that the Democrats voted unanimously against the Trump/GOP tax cuts.

When Pelosi infamously referred to the bonuses as “crumbs”, didn’t everyone notice that Democrats immediately distanced themselves from Pelosi? Here’s the perfect illustration of the difference between crumbs and $1000 bonuses:

During the Benson-Greene debate, moderator Shannon Bream said that there’s sure to be lots of ebbs and flows left in this race. That’s true. What’s equally true is that the last month of the campaign is utterly predictable. Republicans will run ads nonstop highlighting the fact that every Democrat voted against the tax cuts. Imagine the narrator stating “Democrats voted against pay raises, big bonuses and better benefits” before switching to a middle class couple thanking Republicans for voting for the tax cuts before explaining how his bonus let them start saving for their daughter’s college education and how her raise is helping pay for a summer vacation. The ad would be finished by the GOP candidate saying “My opponent voted against you keeping more of your hard-earned money. I will fight for you, not the special interests.”


The reality is that Democrats are facing a difficult endgame situation. Like Benson said, the Democrats made their bed. Now they can sleep in it.

No matter whether people have lots more money in their paychecks, Democrats still insist that the Trump/GOP tax cuts are hurting the middle class. Rep. Brian Higgins, (D-NY), said “The American people are being bamboozled by rhetoric that doesn’t match the reality. The reality is that this tax cut disproportionately, clearly, unequivocally, benefits the very, very, wealthy. And this is a continuing ploy, scheme, scam on the part of House Republican leadership to deliberately mislead people into believing that these tax cuts will go toward middle America.”

Try telling that to the people who’ve received bonuses of $1,000, $2,000 and sometimes $3,000. Try telling that to the people who’ve just gotten their first pay increase since the 2006 midterms. Try telling that to the people whose companies just improved their benefit packages as a direct result of the Trump/GOP tax cuts.

Democrats hint that the Trump administration is fudging the tax tables. What’s worse is that they’re making the accusation without a hint of proof. It’s increasingly obvious that Democrats will say anything to win control of the House of Representatives. This is an example of the Democrats’ dishonesty:

Senate Finance Committee ranking member Ron Wyden (D-OR) and House Ways and Means Committee ranking member Richard Neal (D-MA) have asked the Government Accountability Office to take a look at the new withholding tables. “The real question with respect to withholding is being straight with the American people, and if you play games with this in order to advance a political agenda, [then] Americans get hurt,” Wyden said.

Sen. Wyden doesn’t have anything to go on that suggests the Trump administration is fudging the withholding tables but he’s stopping just short of accusing the Trump administration of dishonesty. It’s worth remembering that Sen. Wyden is the idiot that said this:

Sen. Wyden foolishly said that “There is no magical growth fairy.” Apparently, Sen. Wyden hasn’t heard about this thing called capitalism. Whenever it’s been tried, it’s produced growth that’s pulled people out of poverty. This isn’t to be confused with crony capitalism. When crony capitalism is tried, government gets involved. When profitable markets are identified, there’s no need to provide a government incentive to get entrepreneurs to invest in those products.

Sen. Wyden is a socialist so he isn’t familiar with the wealth-creating principles of capitalism. Don’t forget that Democrats insulted everyone’s intelligence, first by telling people that they weren’t getting a tax cut, then by insisting that the big increases they were seeing in their paychecks were “crumbs.” Let this be a reminder of the difference:

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Dan Henninger’s column makes the case that Nancy Pelosi will be speaker of the House when President Trump delivers his next State of the Union speech. Henninger starts his column by saying “It was impossible not to notice that Nancy Pelosi spent President Trump’s 70-minute State of the Union speech grimly chewing her cheek. She was thinking: ‘What I know, and he doesn’t know, is that history says a year from now I will be speaker of the House, and he’ll be on the brink of impeachment.’ Odds are, she’s right.”

The problem with Henninger’s theory is that the Democratic Party has turned into the elitist party. When Ms. Pelosi called the bonuses “crumbs”, people noticed. Speaking this afternoon at the Republicans’ retreat in White Sulphur Springs, VA, President Trump said “And then we got hit with these corporations giving tremendous bonuses to everybody, the ones that Nancy Pelosi called “crumbs” — that was a bad — that could be like deplorables. Does that make sense? Deplorables and crumbs? Those 2 words seem to have a resemblance. I hope it has the same meaning. But she called it crumbs when people were getting $2,000 and $3,000 and $1,000. That’s not crumbs. That’s a lot of money.”

The reason why I think Henninger will be wrong is because Democrats have become so elitist that they’re totally unlikable. They’re so elitist that Democrats come across as not liking blue collar voters. It’s impossible to like environmentalists and miners simultaneously. It’s impossible to like tons of regulations and be friends of blue collar workers simultaneously. Check this out:

That image of Ms. Pelosi isn’t going away. The ads are already going into production. Next fall, Republicans will ask people if they think $1,000 is crumbs or if it’s a lot of money. The ads write themselves. As juicy as that is, that’s just the appetizer. Jazz Shaw’s post is the ribeye steak entrée:

The phrase “repeal and replace” is coming back into vogue, but this time we’ll be hearing it from the Democrats.

At first glance I had to double check to make sure this wasn’t an article from The Onion. But it’s really published at The Hill and deals with the Democrats’ overarching strategy heading into the midterms and perhaps even the 2020 elections. They’re counting on Americans being so unhappy with their “crumbs” from the tax cuts that they will ask the voters to give them control of Congress so they can repeal and replace the new tax law.

Just speaking from a talent standpoint, Democrats must be total idiots. Why would Democrats think that fatter paychecks, pay raises, bonuses and more generous benefits equal a great opportunity to repeal and replace the Trump/GOP corporate tax cuts?

Republicans should thank their lucky stars for this opportunity. When Democrats explain what they mean by repeal and replace, Republicans should ask Democrats why they’d want to raise taxes on the companies that have given literally billions of dollars worth of bonuses to tens of thousands of people? And if Democrats don’t explain what they mean by repeal and replace, Republicans should pressure them constantly until Democrats explain what they mean.

Mr. Henninger is right. History indicates that Republicans should lose a ton of seats in the House. Then again, never in history has the president’s party run against such a bunch of elitist idiots. I’d just add that patterns are patterns until they aren’t anymore. I suspect we’re watching the death of another pattern. Good riddance.

A good barometer of how good President Trump’s speech was last night is Kamala Harris’ BS-filled statement after President Trump’s State of the Union, aka SOTU, speech.

In her statement, Sen. Harris stated “While I am always willing to work with my colleagues across the aisle, the president’s call for bipartisanship and unity rings hollow. You cannot reject bipartisan plans to improve health care and protect Dreamers or sow hate and division — and then turn around the next day and say you want to work together.”

Last night, Democrats either sat on their hands, booed and hissed or walked out altogether. Yesterday, I wrote this post about what would make for Sen. Schumer’s nightmare scenario. The centerpiece of that post was a quote from Bill McGurn’s WSJ article:

What if Mr. Trump looked up at the gallery full of Dreamers during his address and said, “I have offered a good-faith compromise that would not only resolve your place in America but open to you the precious gift of American citizenship. All I ask is that Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi meet me halfway?”

That didn’t happen. Instead, Democrats sat like sourpusses virtually the entire speech. During a speech that lasted 81 minutes and that elicited 110 rounds of applause, Democrats sat. Occasionally, they wore their sourpuss faces. After the speech, Tim Kaine took to Twitter and said:


The thing that Sen. Kaine apparently hasn’t figured out is that elections have consequences. This isn’t a situation where both sides start on equal footing. While you work together, though, one side starts with the advantage of having won the election. That advantage is bigger when the people that won the election have the strong backing of the American people. When it comes to immigration, President Trump is where the American people are.

The Democrats haven’t noticed that, in addition to wanting DACA recipients staying, the American people want the wall built and chain migration ended. If Senate Democrats don’t wise up fast, they’re heading for an historic beating. 2018 won’t be kind to them.

Of all of the polling last night, this poll should frighten Democrats the most:

A full 72% of independents that watched the speech last night approved of President Trump’s speech. The other thing from that poll that should frighten Democrats is that more than 9-in-10 Republicans approve, too.

PS- That doesn’t sound like a blue wave to me.

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President Trump’s first SOTU speech was one for the ages. At times, it was heart-wrenching. At other times, it was jubilant. At still other times, it was sensible. At all times, it was the Democrats’ worst nightmare. The speech lasted 81 minutes. It drew 110 rounds of applause. Optically, it was a terrible night for Democrats.

Early in the speech, President Trump talked about Hispanic and African-American unemployment, saying “Unemployment claims have hit a 45-year low. African-American unemployment stands at the lowest rate ever recorded, and Hispanic American unemployment has also reached the lowest levels in history.” The Congressional Black Caucus not only didn’t applaud. The CBC didn’t register a response:

When people started chanting “USA, USA, USA”, here’s how Rep. Luis Gutierrez reacted:

When President Trump spoke about noncontroversial things like working hard and unifying the nation, here’s how Nancy Pelosi responded:

Mixed into the 110 rounds of applause were lines like this:

So to every citizen watching at home tonight — no matter where you have been, or where you come from, this is your time. If you work hard, if you believe in yourself, if you believe in America, then you can dream anything, you can be anything, and together, we can achieve anything.

Meanwhile, Democrats virtually spent the entire night sitting on their hands. The optics really told the story Tuesday night. Republicans applauded President Trump’s accomplishments. They were the optimistic people in the room. Democrats looked like they’d eaten a bag of lemons. They looked like sourpusses the entire night:

The most heart-wrenching part of the speech came when President Trump spoke about 2 couples whose daughters were friends. Here’s that story:

Here tonight are two fathers and two mothers: Evelyn Rodriguez, Freddy Cuevas, Elizabeth Alvarado, and Robert Mickens. Their two teenage daughters — Kayla Cuevas and Nisa Mickens — were close friends on Long Island. But in September 2016, on the eve of Nisa’s 16th Birthday, neither of them came home. These two precious girls were brutally murdered while walking together in their hometown. Six members of the savage gang MS-13 have been charged with Kayla and Nisa’s murders. Many of these gang members took advantage of glaring loopholes in our laws to enter the country as unaccompanied alien minors ?- and wound up in Kayla and Nisa’s high school.

Evelyn, Elizabeth, Freddy, and Robert: Tonight, everyone in this chamber is praying for you. Everyone in America is grieving for you. And 320 million hearts are breaking for you. We cannot imagine the depth of your sorrow, but we can make sure that other families never have to endure this pain.

Trump is right. This shouldn’t ever happen in the United States. Period. Trump is also right in saying that, across the nation, parents’ hearts were breaking with those parents.

This was especially powerful in pushing Democrats into a ‘can’t-win corner’ on immigration. How can Democrats say no to building the wall or ending chain migration or the visa lottery at this point? I suspect that Democrats will try resisting. That’s what they’ve been about since Trump took office.

Potentially, President Trump’s SOTU speech is a game-changer:

According to that survey, the results of which were announced on-air on CNN, 48 percent of respondents said they had a “very positive” reaction to the speech — Trump’s first since taking office. Only 22 percent said they had a “somewhat positive” reaction to the speech, while 29 percent reacted negatively.

The results of that poll came less than two hours after Trump finished delivering his speech, in which he touted the tax cuts and regulatory rollbacks of his first year in office and outlined his ambitions to revitalize the nation’s infrastructure and take on immigration reform.

Sixty-two percent of respondents said that the policies outlined by the president on Tuesday would move the country in the right direction, according to the CNN/SSRS poll. By comparison, 35 percent said they would move it in the wrong direction.

Those aren’t good numbers for Democrats. They’re terrible statistics for Democrats. This won’t cheer up Democrats, either:

This poll isn’t good news, either:

Prior to Tuesday night, Republicans had gained a bunch of momentum. After Tuesday night, Republicans had a ton of momentum going into this new year. If Democrats think they can steamroll the Republicans, they’d better rethink their strategy. Fast.

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It’s fun watching socialists, aka Democrats, pull their hair out watching Trump’s tax cuts work. The socialists, aka Democrats, aren’t upset that the tax cuts, aka capitalism, are failing. Democrats are upset because capitalism is succeeding.

With tongue planted firmly in cheek, Michael Goodwin states “The cash-in-the-pocket benefits are great news to many families, but the boom is doing something else too: It’s giving the millennials a firsthand lesson in economics. Following eight slow-growth years under President Barack Obama and an election where their favorite candidate, Bernie Sanders, railed against the wealthy and promised free stuff for everybody else, many young Americans were taught that socialism is their friend and capitalism their enemy. Now they are getting proof that the opposite is true. They are eyewitnesses as capitalism provides more opportunities and financial security to more people than any other system.”

Despite the prosperity that’s becoming increasingly clear, Democrats still won’t admit that the Trump/GOP tax cuts are working. Prominent Democrats like Nancy Pelosi “likened them to cheese on a mouse trap. Former party boss Debbie Wasserman Schultz told a crowd that ‘I’m not sure that $1,000 goes very far for almost anyone.'”

This must drive Democrats nuts:

The contrast with Trump is striking. His “America is Open for Business” spiel at Davos was consistent with his promise to get the economy roaring. Never a shrinking violet, he is most convincingly authentic when cheerleading for jobs, jobs, jobs.

He starts his second year in office with the dividends piling up. As The Wall Street Journal reported Friday, the tax cuts are “rippling through” the economy and leading all kinds of firms to explore expansion and some to consider new plants and acquisitions.

Many companies also are increasing their charitable contributions, with JPMorgan Chase saying it will boost its community-based philanthropy by 40 percent, to $1.75 billion over five years. That, too, is unique to capitalism, people and businesses freely giving away their money.

Trump is the modern-day version of economist Milton Friedman, a salesman for capitalism par excellence:

As the tax cuts kick in and as businesses continue handing out bonuses and pay increases, Democrats will be put into the difficult position of explaining why every Democrat in the House and every Democratic senator voted against the tax cuts. To this day, that’s one of the most stunning political mistakes in modern political history. Truthfully, it’s inexplicable, foolish.

Recently, the Republicans’ deficit in the generic ballot polling has seen significant improvement. It still isn’t where I’d like it to be but it’s trending in the right direction. What’s got to worry Democrats, in addition to their losing ground on the generic ballot polling, is the improvement in President Trump’s approval rating.

According to the article, a “Fox News Poll conducted at the end of President Trump’s first year in the White House finds more voters rate the economy positively today than have in nearly two decades. And they give the White House credit for that: nearly twice as many say the Trump administration has made the economy better than made it worse: 40 percent vs. 22 percent. One-third says the administration has not made a difference (34 percent).”

Democrats will have a difficult time explaining away why the economy has dramatically improved since President Obama left office. They’ll have difficulty explaining the question “Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the following issues? Economy: Approve 51%, Disapprove 41%, Not Sure 8%”

Overall, President Trump’s approval rating has improved:

The “condition of the economy” has improved, too:

In fact, it’s improved quite dramatically. As I’ve said before, in the past, recessions have ended without people feeling like it’s ended. The Great Recession ended during President Obama’s administration but people didn’t notice their lives improving. Thanks to the Trump/GOP tax cuts and the Trump/GOP deregulation and mostly because companies are handing out big bonuses and/or pay raises or improving employee benefits.

BTW, those pay raises and bonuses aren’t crumbs like this buffoon thinks:

Finally, Democrats will have a difficult time explaining why they voted unanimously against the Trump/GOP tax cuts. Anyone that thinks there’s a big blue wave building that’s going to swamp Republicans should take another look at what the polls are saying.

When it comes to saying foolish things, Nancy Pelosi ranks right up there. While the MSM can’t stop talking about President Trump’s s—hole comment, they haven’t covered Ms. Pelosi’s disgusting, elitist statement. Ms. Pelosi said “The bonus that corporate America received versus the crumbs that they are giving to workers to kind of put the schmooze on is so pathetic. It’s so pathetic.”

Paul Ryan’s interview blew Ms. Pelosi away. He spoke about Walmart raising their starting pay from $9/hr. to $11/hr. He said that, for families living paycheck-to-paycheck, that isn’t crumbs. He said that “You’re seeing stories like that. You’re seeing businesses expanding, businesses investing in capital, workers getting wage increases, workers getting bonuses, better benefits, better 401(k)s. All of those things are now being announced. And it’s just been 20 days so I think the Democrats are gonna regret not having supported this.”

Let’s be blunt about something. The Democrats voting unanimously against these tax cuts is the dumbest thing, strategy-wise, that they’ve ever done. This fall, when the voters finally start tuning in, they’ll be hit with a barrage of ads showing Democrat after Democrat voting against the tax cuts that they’re benefitting from. They’re benefitting from cheaper electric bills, bigger paychecks and fatter 401(k)s.

Here’s the money question: How many families in battleground districts will agree with Ms. Pelosi saying that the bonuses and pay raises they’ve received are crumbs? If that’s the most important issue to voters, the Democrats won’t just not retake the majority in the House. They’ll lose seats.

If they compare Ms. Pelosi’s elitist statements with Speaker Ryan’s pro-blue collar statements, it won’t turn out well for Democrats:

What this comes down to is that Paul Ryan’s statements at the end of his C-SPAN video sound thoughtful while Ms. Pelosi’s statements sound like a progressive hardliner elitist. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that, politically speaking, thoughtful defeats elitist every time.

Who would’ve thought that the Trump/GOP tax cuts would lead to cheaper electric bills? That’s what’s happening, though. While Democrats insist that these benefits helping the middle class are just PR stunts, the middle class’s reply is that they’re fine with PR stunts that save them money. BTW, the PR stunt line is the Democrats latest talking point to deflect criticism away from the fact that Democrats unanimously voted against the Trump/GOP tax cuts that are benefitting literally hundreds of thousands of people. They’re benefitting either through pay raises, bonuses, bigger employer contributions to the employees’ 401(k)s or, now, through cheaper utility bills.

The most dramatic news on the utilities front comes out of South Carolina, where a “$7.9 billion deal between utility companies Dominion Energy and Scana includes an unusual term loosely related to the tax bill that passed Congress at the end of 2017. All residential customers of Scana’s South Carolina Electric & Gas utility will get an average cash payment of $1,000 within 90 days of the deal being completed, the companies said in a statement. … Scana and Dominion are one of the first companies to explicitly say they will give their customers a credit as a result of the tax bill.”

In Illinois, “ComEd is filing a petition with the Illinois Commerce Commission (ICC) seeking approval to pass along approximately $200 million in tax savings to its customers in 2018. If approved by the ICC, the average ComEd residential customer can expect to see an estimated $2-$3 decrease on their monthly bill related to the tax reduction.” (ComEd, 1/5/2018)

“Pepco today announced they will file with the Public Service Commission of the District of Columbia in early February, outlining plans to provide annual tax savings to more than 296,000 electric customers in the District of Columbia. If approved, Pepco would plan to begin providing a credit lowering customer bills starting in the first quarter of 2018. … ‘The tax law will result in lower bills for our customers and lower taxes for Pepco,’ said Dave Velazquez, President and CEO, Pepco Holdings, which includes Pepco. ‘We are pleased to provide these savings to our customers, while at the same time ensuring we are making prudent investments in the local power grid to maintain the safe, reliable, and affordable service our customers have come to expect.'” (Pepco, Press Release, 1/5/2018)

The point is that the middle class is definitely benefitting from the Trump/GOP tax cuts. That’s indisputable.

What’s important is for the American people to notice that Democrats made a political decision when Democrats, in the House and Senate, voted unanimously against the Trump/GOP tax cuts. Democrats from swing districts in America’s heartland didn’t listen to their constituents. Instead, those Democrats listened to Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi. Speaking of Ms. Pelosi, watch this video, then determine whether she’s just plain wrong or whether she’s intentionally lying:

Ms. Pelosi insisted that the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act was “a bill that rewards corporations shipping jobs overseas.” Then Ms. Pelosi asked if there was justice in shipping jobs overseas. What the hell is she babbling about? Which corporations have announced that they’re moving their companies overseas since the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act was signed into law?

At some point, someone’s got to tell her that she’s either got a warped imagination or she’s liar without a conscience. There’s nothing resembling the truth about her speech. Nothing.

Friends, I can’t tell you how much I enjoyed writing this LTE. I’ve made a point of highlighting how the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act is already benefitting the middle Class. (See here, here, here and here.)

That’s before talking about how the “Dow rose 25%, the S&P 500 rose 19% and the NASDAQ rose 28% in 2017. With the stock market hitting 75 new record highs, employee 401(k)s are getting fatter. I’d love hearing Democrats explain to the 70% of Americans with retirement plans, mutual funds or directly invested in the market how they aren’t winning.”

The Democrats made idiots of themselves while debating the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. Nancy Pelosi said that the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act was like Armageddon. Sen. Schumer, on the Senate floor, said that “Republicans will rue the day” that they pass the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. Not only are Democrats wrong. Their predictions have been off by 180 degrees. Democrats said that the middle class would get hit with major tax increases. I’d love hearing them say that now that “American Airlines Group Inc.” gave “their employees a $1,000 bonus” and “Aflac [made] the following commitment to our U.S. workforce: 1. Increase the company’s 401(k) match, from 50% to 100% on the first 4% of employee contribution, while making a one-time contribution of $500 to every employee’s 401(k) plan and 2. Offer certain hospital and accident insurance products to all employees free of charge, as the company currently does with its core cancer insurance product.”

Why would anyone trust the Democrats with tax cuts or the economy? Here’s Sen. Schumer with his famous line:

Here’s my message to Sen. Schumer: The middle class won’t hold it against Republicans when they’re paid $1,000 bonuses or they receive significant pay increases or when their companies make more generous contributions to the employees’ 4011(k)s. It’s just that simple.

The anger that Sen. Schumer is attempting to manufacture simply won’t happen.

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