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TakeAction Minnesota, one of the organizations that opposed the proposed Photo ID constitutional amendment, authorized this report to be published. Here’s a key statistic from the report:

According to recent testimony by the secretary of state’s office, the proposed photo ID amendment could adversely affect more than 700,000 eligible Minnesota voters. This total includes 215,000 registered voters who do not have a Minnesota driver’s license or ID card with a current address on it, and another 500,000 eligible voters who use Election Day registration.

Prior to this article, people have generally accepted the importance of Election Day registration, aka EDR. That’s changing thanks to this information:

2012
Ramsey County 278,821 votes; 279,513 registered voters, 99.75%VPR
Hennepin County: 674,149 votes, 678,074 RVs, 99.4% VPR
Anoka County: 186,461 votes, 195,424 RVs, 95.4% VPR
Benton County: 19,755 votes, 21,051 RVs, 93.8% VPR
Carlton County: 18,545 votes, 19,929 RVs, 93.1% VPR
Carver County: 52,899 votes, 55,366 RVs, 95.5% VPR
Dakota County: 230,992 votes, 240,100 RVs, 96.2% VPR
Morrison County: 16,836 votes, 17,998 RVs, 93.5% VPR
St. Louis County: 115,921 votes, 122,755 RVs, 94.4% VPR
Sherburne County: 46,707 votes, 48,691 RVs, 95.9% VPR
Wright County: 69,861 votes, 70,572 RVs, 99.0% VPR
Washington County: 142,133 votes, 151,803 RVs, 93.6% VPR
Registered Voters at 7AM: 3,085,277, Voting Eligible Population: 3,876,752

In addition to the astonishing participation rates, notice that 3,085,277 people were registered voters in 2012.

Let’s compare those figures with 2008′s participation figures and registered voter numbers:

2008
Ramsey County 278,169 votes; 317,028 RVs, 87.7%
Hennepin County: 665,485 votes, 722,777 RVs, 92.1% VPR
Anoka County: 182,559 votes, 189,349 RVs, 96.4% VPR
Benton County: 19,429 votes, 21,438 RVs, 90.6% VPR
Carlton County: 18,530 votes, 19,942 RVs, 92.9% VPR
Carver County: 49,806 votes, 53,059 RVs, 93.9% VPR
Dakota County: 225,933 votes, 241,276 RVs, 96.2% VPR
Morrison County: 16,850 votes, 18,979 RVs, 93.6% VPR
St. Louis County: 119,435 votes, 134,550 RVs 88.8% VPR
Sherburne County: 45,121 votes, 47,397 RVs, 95.2% VPR
Wright County: 65,479 votes, 67,959 RVs 96.4% VPR
Washington County: 137,323 votes, 147,347 RVs, 93.2% VPR
Registered Voters as of 7AM 11-04-08: 3,199,981

In 2012, there were 1,544,914 registered voters in Ramsey, Hennepin, Anoka, Dakota and Washington counties. According to the Secretary of State’s website, 1,512,556 people voted in those counties. That’s a participation rate of 97.9%.

Let’s compare those statistics with 2008 for those same counties. There were 1,617,777 registered voters in 2008, with 1,489,469 people voting in those counties. That’s a participation rate of 92.1%.

That isn’t the astonishing part, though. In 2008, there were 3,199,981 registered voters in Minnesota, compared with 3,085,277 registered voters in 2012.

If 500,000 people use EDR each presidential election in Minnesota, why were there 114,704 more registered voters in Minnesota in 2008 than in 2008?

That isn’t even the most astonishing statistic, though. Even though there were 114,704 fewer registered voters in Minnesota in 2012 than in 2008, 21,707 more votes were cast in 2012 than in 2008.

In 2008, the participation rate was 90.9%. In 2012, the participation rate was 95.03%, an increase of 4 points from a wave election.

With all due respect, it’s impossible to believe that the voter participation rate was 4 points higher this year than in a wave election. It’s impossible to believe that 500,000 people used EDR in 2008 and another 500,000 people in 2010 but there were 114,704 fewer registered voters in 2012 than in 2008.

Finally, where did those 1,000,000 registered voters disappear to? It isn’t a stretch to think that a significant portion of those voters who used EDR weren’t eligible to vote.

Without Photo ID, though, it’s almost impossible to tell.

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7 Responses to “EDR, participation rate, wave elections and random electoral questions”

  • #6 says:

    Have you brought this up to Se. Kiffmeyer? I’d like her take on this.

  • eric z says:

    Your top ticket scared a bunch of people into showing up.

    It is that simple, together with the bigotry amendment and the disenfranchisement amendment.

    Your ploys backfired.

    Blame yourelves, not active voters in fear of Romney-Ryan. Or, you can go on in fantasy land, and see the very same backlash in four years when Ryan heads your ticket. It is that or show a learning curve.

    And adapt to having the Ron Paul people, listen to ALL they say, and, THINK.

    Thinking tops whining. Every time.

  • eric z says:

    I want you all to stick your head out your window and yell, “‘I’m as mad as hell, and I’m not going to take this anymore!”

  • Patrick says:

    This just in…. Strong Majority–Including All Minorities–Favors Photo ID Laws For Voting http://tinyurl.com/cradf2u

    Also in the headlines – U.N. Poll Watchers Baffled U.S. Doesn’t Require I.D. to Vote http://tinyurl.com/ap436tw

  • “With all due respect, it’s impossible to believe that the voter participation rate was 4 points higher this year than in a wave election.”

    Wave elections are just as much the product of one product being demoralized as another being enthusiastic. Sure, Democrats turned out in record numbers in 2008, but what made it a wave was Republicans staying home.

    “It’s impossible to believe that 500,000 people used EDR in 2008 and another 500,000 people in 2010 but there were 114,704 fewer registered voters in 2012 than in 2008.”

    If I recall correctly, voters who have not voted in the past two elections are purged from the rolls.

  • Gary Gross says:

    Eric, Please don’t insult me like that. I’m supposed to believe that 97+ percent of registered voters in a half dozen counties showed up, especially when those same counties’ participation rate was 7-8 points less 4 years ago. Hennepin County had more registered voters in 2008 but cast fewer votes than in 2012? Seriously? If that’s what you’re selling, I ain’t buying.

    First, Jeff, your name doesn’t drop off the registered voter list if you don’t vote. The only way it’s flagged is if a court rules that a person is placed in a guardianship or if the person commits a felony. The person’s name is deleted when they die or they move to a new address.

    Second, If you read my Examiner article, you’ll see that Ramsey & Hennepin counties, not exactly known as bastions of conservatism, had 957,587 registered voters in 2012. There were 952,970 votes cast in those counties. That’s a 99.52 perticipation rate. In 2008, 943,654 votes were cast in those counties. That year, there were 1,039,805 registered voters.

    That means there were 9,316 more votes cast in Hennepin & Ramsey this year even though there were 82,218 fewer registered voters. That’s a participation rate of 90.8%. That means there was an 8.7 point increase from 2008. I’m not buying it.

  • Paul L says:

    I think you’re forgetting that many voters on the preregistration roll at 7 am moved to a new precinct since the last election and registered on Election Day at their new precinct polling place. I am an election judge in a precinct with many college students. We register 200 to 300 on Election Day, and their names show up on the polling book at the next election even though they’ve graduated or moved, but are also counted as same day registrants.

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