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When it comes to political wisdom, Lindsey Graham isn’t too bright. The NYTimes is quoting Sen. Graham as saying that “The president’s going to have a vote on his concept. I don’t think it will get 60 votes. The bottom line then is: What do you do next? You can do what we’ve done for the last 35 years — blame each other. Or you can actually start fixing the broken immigration system. If you came out of this with strong border security — the president getting his wall and the Dream Act population being taken care of, most Americans would applaud.”

Sen. Graham isn’t too bright if he thinks he’s on the winning side in this fight. Americans want a DACA fix as long as it comes with the wall and an end to chain migration. Each of those issues have approval ratings of 70%. If Sen. Graham thinks that President Trump is on the losing end of that fight, he isn’t too bright.

The American people understand that bad bipartisan deals are really just bad deals. They’ve seen DC pass bipartisan deals for years while things got worse. They’re upset with elitists in both parties. They’re demanding that these elitists do something different this time. It’s a revolutionary concept but it’s worked in the past. It’s called listening to the people. Don’t tell us that the things that the American people want done in their name is complicated.

It’s only complicated trying to explain why politicians ignored the will of the people. Then it gets real complicated — for the politician. That’s their problem.

Meanwhile, politicians in the “Common Sense Coalition” who are up for election this year better prepare to get their comeuppance in November. Watch Sen. Schumer’s speech, then ask yourself whether he’s bothered to listen to the American people:

After watching that speech, I’m left wondering whether Sen. Schumer thinks the American people are simply an inconvenient afterthought. Lost in his political spin is whether the bill the Common Sense Coalition is putting together is something that the American people would reject. Also lost in Sen. Schumer’s spin is whether the Common Sense Coalition’s bill would fix anything or whether it would just be another bipartisan bill that doesn’t do what the American people expect it to do.

Thanks to President Trump’s populism and his commitment to the American people, Democrats and wayward Republicans are finding out that resisting the American people isn’t a great way to earn a living in politics. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell’s speech summed things up perfectly:

My Democratic colleagues have spent months demanding the Senate take up this issue. They even shut down the government, unnecessarily, I might add, in order to secure this very week of debate. But now that the time has come to make law instead of just making points, they’re stalling.

Why? Why, after months and months spent demanding that the Senate take up this issue, do they now object to even starting the debate? Because they know, no matter how long they spend in closed-door negotiations, they can’t change the fact that the president has spelled out a fair and generous framework that will be necessary to earn his signature. They cannot take ‘yes’ for an answer. So, instead of moving to fulfill their promises and address the DACA issue, they haven’t even allowed the debate to begin.

It’s clear that Sen. McConnell listened to the people. He’s kept his promise. When he kept that promise, Democrats shut down debate. That’s the indisputable fact.

If Democrats want to face the American people after shutting down the government so they could debate immigration policies, then shut down debate when Sen. McConnell scheduled a week of debate on immigration/DACA, that’s their option. They shouldn’t be surprised if the people, including DACA activists, take brickbats after them when Democrats campaign on immigration/DACA.

Finally, I’d put together ads for each of the members of the Common Sense Coalition that starts with Republicans wanting to fix DACA and border security, then transitions into a frame where the narrator asks these immigration liberals which side of their mouth they want to talk out of.

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Reading this article is a reminder that DC often ignores what the people want. Early in the article, it says “But he later hedged, saying he wanted to wait to see what comes out of the Common Sense Coalition. This group of more than 20 senators, led by GOP Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine), has begun drafting legislative text. But it still hasn’t reached a consensus about what it could support. ‘I think we’re getting pretty close on coming up with a proposal that may or may not be offered next week,’ Collins told reporters after the group’s last closed-door session. ‘There will probably be more than one [amendment offered] but it’s too early to tell right now.'”

Nothing in this article seems like they’re even slightly worried about what the American people want. If this “Common Sense Coalition” ignores the will of the American people as expressed in the 2016 election, the legislation should be defeated outright. Common Sense Coalition is just a slick attempt at marketing. It doesn’t have anything to do with doing the right thing by the American people.

These idiots in the Senate seem to think that the Trump coalition is irrelevant. Any member of the Common Sense Coalition that lives in a red state and that’s up for re-election in 2018 or 2020, regardless of party, should expect to be defeated.

Look at how dismissive Chris Wallace is of the American people:

Here’s the key part of the transcript:

WALLACE: Let’s turn to immigration. The Senate takes up DACA this week trying to find some solutions, some compromise, and what they are talking about — and also what the president is talking about, is a package that includes — now you put the tough part first, the president and some Republicans say that it all comes together, that you’re going to have a path to citizenship for the Dreamers in 10 to 12 years. You’re going to have tougher border enforcement on our southern border and also tougher enforcement both legal and illegal immigration.
Would you support that package?
JORDAN: I’ll support a package consistent with what the voters said. I mean, look, the voters don’t trust that Washington is going to do the right thing on immigration and they are tired of this, oh, we’ll give some kind of amnesty to folks who came here illegally and we promise, promise, promise will do something to secure the border — they’re sick of that play.
What they want is border security first. So, build a border security wall, end the chain migration, get rid of this crazy visa lottery, do things in a way that make good common — sanctuary city policy, get rid of those. Do those things first and then we’ll deal with the DACA situation. That is consistent with the mandate of the 2016 election and frankly consistent with what the president and what Republicans campaigned on.
WALLACE: But I’m asking you —
JORDAN: And that is consistent with Goodlatte’s legislation. That’s why we want to pass that.
WALLACE: I’m asking you a direct question because that isn’t where this compromise seems headed in the Senate. They are talking about doing them all at once, the path to citizenship and these other things all at the same time, not enforcement first.

What part of Jim Jordan’s statement didn’t Chris Wallace understand? The American people want the DACA fix only if the wall is built and chain migration ends immediately. This isn’t that complicated.

This is what happens when DC starts thinking that they can push the American people around. The fuse is lit. It won’t take long before DC pays the price for its stubbornness. DC-itis isn’t just something found in politicians. It’s also found in the media.

A good barometer of how good President Trump’s speech was last night is Kamala Harris’ BS-filled statement after President Trump’s State of the Union, aka SOTU, speech.

In her statement, Sen. Harris stated “While I am always willing to work with my colleagues across the aisle, the president’s call for bipartisanship and unity rings hollow. You cannot reject bipartisan plans to improve health care and protect Dreamers or sow hate and division — and then turn around the next day and say you want to work together.”

Last night, Democrats either sat on their hands, booed and hissed or walked out altogether. Yesterday, I wrote this post about what would make for Sen. Schumer’s nightmare scenario. The centerpiece of that post was a quote from Bill McGurn’s WSJ article:

What if Mr. Trump looked up at the gallery full of Dreamers during his address and said, “I have offered a good-faith compromise that would not only resolve your place in America but open to you the precious gift of American citizenship. All I ask is that Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi meet me halfway?”

That didn’t happen. Instead, Democrats sat like sourpusses virtually the entire speech. During a speech that lasted 81 minutes and that elicited 110 rounds of applause, Democrats sat. Occasionally, they wore their sourpuss faces. After the speech, Tim Kaine took to Twitter and said:


The thing that Sen. Kaine apparently hasn’t figured out is that elections have consequences. This isn’t a situation where both sides start on equal footing. While you work together, though, one side starts with the advantage of having won the election. That advantage is bigger when the people that won the election have the strong backing of the American people. When it comes to immigration, President Trump is where the American people are.

The Democrats haven’t noticed that, in addition to wanting DACA recipients staying, the American people want the wall built and chain migration ended. If Senate Democrats don’t wise up fast, they’re heading for an historic beating. 2018 won’t be kind to them.

Of all of the polling last night, this poll should frighten Democrats the most:

A full 72% of independents that watched the speech last night approved of President Trump’s speech. The other thing from that poll that should frighten Democrats is that more than 9-in-10 Republicans approve, too.

PS- That doesn’t sound like a blue wave to me.

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President Trump’s first SOTU speech was one for the ages. At times, it was heart-wrenching. At other times, it was jubilant. At still other times, it was sensible. At all times, it was the Democrats’ worst nightmare. The speech lasted 81 minutes. It drew 110 rounds of applause. Optically, it was a terrible night for Democrats.

Early in the speech, President Trump talked about Hispanic and African-American unemployment, saying “Unemployment claims have hit a 45-year low. African-American unemployment stands at the lowest rate ever recorded, and Hispanic American unemployment has also reached the lowest levels in history.” The Congressional Black Caucus not only didn’t applaud. The CBC didn’t register a response:

When people started chanting “USA, USA, USA”, here’s how Rep. Luis Gutierrez reacted:

When President Trump spoke about noncontroversial things like working hard and unifying the nation, here’s how Nancy Pelosi responded:

Mixed into the 110 rounds of applause were lines like this:

So to every citizen watching at home tonight — no matter where you have been, or where you come from, this is your time. If you work hard, if you believe in yourself, if you believe in America, then you can dream anything, you can be anything, and together, we can achieve anything.

Meanwhile, Democrats virtually spent the entire night sitting on their hands. The optics really told the story Tuesday night. Republicans applauded President Trump’s accomplishments. They were the optimistic people in the room. Democrats looked like they’d eaten a bag of lemons. They looked like sourpusses the entire night:

The most heart-wrenching part of the speech came when President Trump spoke about 2 couples whose daughters were friends. Here’s that story:

Here tonight are two fathers and two mothers: Evelyn Rodriguez, Freddy Cuevas, Elizabeth Alvarado, and Robert Mickens. Their two teenage daughters — Kayla Cuevas and Nisa Mickens — were close friends on Long Island. But in September 2016, on the eve of Nisa’s 16th Birthday, neither of them came home. These two precious girls were brutally murdered while walking together in their hometown. Six members of the savage gang MS-13 have been charged with Kayla and Nisa’s murders. Many of these gang members took advantage of glaring loopholes in our laws to enter the country as unaccompanied alien minors ?- and wound up in Kayla and Nisa’s high school.

Evelyn, Elizabeth, Freddy, and Robert: Tonight, everyone in this chamber is praying for you. Everyone in America is grieving for you. And 320 million hearts are breaking for you. We cannot imagine the depth of your sorrow, but we can make sure that other families never have to endure this pain.

Trump is right. This shouldn’t ever happen in the United States. Period. Trump is also right in saying that, across the nation, parents’ hearts were breaking with those parents.

This was especially powerful in pushing Democrats into a ‘can’t-win corner’ on immigration. How can Democrats say no to building the wall or ending chain migration or the visa lottery at this point? I suspect that Democrats will try resisting. That’s what they’ve been about since Trump took office.

Potentially, President Trump’s SOTU speech is a game-changer:

According to that survey, the results of which were announced on-air on CNN, 48 percent of respondents said they had a “very positive” reaction to the speech — Trump’s first since taking office. Only 22 percent said they had a “somewhat positive” reaction to the speech, while 29 percent reacted negatively.

The results of that poll came less than two hours after Trump finished delivering his speech, in which he touted the tax cuts and regulatory rollbacks of his first year in office and outlined his ambitions to revitalize the nation’s infrastructure and take on immigration reform.

Sixty-two percent of respondents said that the policies outlined by the president on Tuesday would move the country in the right direction, according to the CNN/SSRS poll. By comparison, 35 percent said they would move it in the wrong direction.

Those aren’t good numbers for Democrats. They’re terrible statistics for Democrats. This won’t cheer up Democrats, either:

This poll isn’t good news, either:

Prior to Tuesday night, Republicans had gained a bunch of momentum. After Tuesday night, Republicans had a ton of momentum going into this new year. If Democrats think they can steamroll the Republicans, they’d better rethink their strategy. Fast.

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According to this article, Democrats are planning on committing political suicide. According to the article, “Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer opposes the immigration framework released by the White House — a potentially fatal blow for the prospective legislation in the closely divided Senate.” If Democrats oppose a bill that might give 1,800,000 DREAMers a path to citizenship, their ratings with Hispanics will drop precipitously right before the midterm elections.

If that happens, the wave will be on. This time, though, it will be a red wave, albeit a small wave in the House.

Think about this. Republicans would be able to run ads saying that Democrats unanimously opposed the Trump/GOP tax cuts that produced huge bonuses, tax cuts and improved employee benefits. Think about this. That’s just Round 1. Round 2 would be an ad that features Democrats making speeches on the Senate floor expressing their unwavering loyalty to DACA recipients before showing those same Democrats voting against the thing these DACA recipients want most.

With President Trump delivering his first State of the Union Address Tuesday night, President Trump will have a nationwide audience watching. What a perfect opportunity to tell the American people his sensible blueprint for immigration reform and border security.

Democrats are right. People want DACA solved. Republicans are right, too. The American people want their borders secured and chain migration ended. People rightly think that chain migration puts the immigrants in charge of immigration policy. People think that amnesty without a border wall is foolish.

If President Trump tells the American people his plan, then challenges Democrats to oppose him, he’ll push Democrats into a can’t win situation. Good luck with that. Sen. Schumer isn’t getting pushed into that can’t-win situation. He’s racing into it:

“This plan flies in the face of what most Americans believe,” Schumer said on Twitter. While Trump “finally acknowledged that the Dreamers should be allowed to stay here and become citizens, he uses them as a tool to tear apart our legal immigration system and adopt the wish list that anti-immigration hard-liners have advocated for for years.”

Sarah Huckabee-Sanders made sure he’ll pay the price for that foolishness:

White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders quickly shot back, tweeting that Schumer prefers “open borders & sanctuary cities over law & order and popular, common sense reforms.”

Sen. Schumer, welcome to God’s little acre: east of the rock, west of the hard place. Enjoy your stay. You’ll be there a while.

According to CNN’s article, Sen. Schumer is looking for a reset in negotiations with the Trump administration on immigration, saying “We’re starting over. I took our thing off — they took their thing off the table, I took our thing, we’re starting over.” That’s the Democrats’ official statement but it’s meaningless.

In an interview with FNC’s Harris Faulkner, Sen. Mike Rounds was asked about negotiations. Ms. Faulkner said “I’m hearing that some of the talks are frosty, chilly. How would you describe them?” Sen. Rounds’ replied, saying “Well, I think once you get down to where the talks are actually going on, I think they’re going pretty well. Our discussions with rank-and-file — I think we’re making progress. I know that Sen. Schumer has to take a hardline — his far-left base is gonna demand that of him but I think the President responded to him very well, making it very clear that border security is part of any arrangement concerning a DACA agreement. And he’s absolutely correct and that’s the direction we’re going in and we’re really not hearing any disagreement among Democrats who are actually trying to find a solution.”

Another thing that’s changing the dynamic of this debate is that the Trump administration will be releasing a framework for what it’ll take to find a DACA fix. According to the article, Ms. Sanders “declined to provide details about what would be included in the framework, including whether it would provide a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants who came to the US as children, known as Dreamers, signaling only that it will represent ‘a compromise that members of both parties can support.'”

There’s no question that Sen. Schumer is facing a ton of pressure from the special interests not to cave. That’s virtually a mission impossible. Red state Democrats will almost certainly have to vote for the things that President Trump wants. If they don’t, they’ll sign their political death certificate this November.

There’s no hiding on this high profile issue. With people this engaged, it’s pretty much impossible to hide. It’s decision time.

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Make no mistake about this: President Trump is establishing the parameters for a DACA deal. In fact, he’s drawing a bright line in the sand on this, saying “Cryin’ Chuck Schumer fully understands, especially after his humiliating defeat, that if there is no Wall, there is no DACA. We must have safety and security, together with a strong Military, for our great people!”

This is also a sharp rebuke to Jeff Flake and Lindsey Graham. They’ve both advocated for a clean DACA bill for all intents and purposes. Technically, their bill isn’t clean but it’s a far cry from ending chain migration or building the wall.

White House press secretary Sarah Sanders also rebuked Flake and Graham, saying “In a bipartisan meeting here at the White House two weeks ago we outlined a path forward on four issues: serious border security, an end to chain migration, the cancellation of the outdated and unsafe visa lottery and a permanent solution to DACA. Unfortunately, the Flake-Graham-Durbin agreement does not meet these bench marks.”

By saying this, Sanders has essentially told Democrats that they won’t take legislation negotiated by Flake and Graham seriously so they shouldn’t waste time with that legislation. That isn’t to say Republicans would be totally opposed to Graham-negotiated immigration reform. There are other squishes in the Senate. What I’m saying is that President Trump has made it perfectly clear that he won’t accept anything that Bob Goodlatte, Tom Cotton and Martha McSally haven’t approved.


Sen. Schumer has opened with a hardball position:

“There is no deal that Sen. Cotton or Rep. [Bob] Goodlatte could forge that could earn the majority of either the House or the Senate,” Schumer said, adding, “If Sen. Cotton and Rep. Goodlatte have veto power over an agreement, everyone knows there won’t be an agreement.” He said the same thing directly to the president, Politico reported.

The Goodlatte bill would pass the House because President Trump has endorsed it and because it’s what the American people want. These negotiations aren’t dividing Republicans. They’re uniting them:

So far the attacks appear to be stiffening the White House’s resolve. Sanders defended Miller from what she characterized as a “sad and desperate attempt by a few people trying to tarnish a staffer.” One of her deputies, Hogan Gidley, shot back that Graham was the outlier on immigration, not Miller, and said the South Carolina Republican had been in “lockstep” with Democrats for “decades” on “amnesty” and “open borders.”

Democrats argue that this kind of GOP infighting demonstrates precisely why immigration hawks are disruptive of any attempt to arrive at a deal. If one is not reached by Feb. 8, they believe they are owed a vote on a clean DACA bill as a condition of ending the first shutdown fight, a strategic decision that did not wow liberal activists but may have been necessitated by the position of the ten Democratic senators up for re-election this year in states that Trump won as well as polling unfavorable to an immigration-driven shutdown.

If this reporting is accurate, then Democrats have an uphill fight on DACA. It isn’t that DACA isn’t popular. It’s that large majorities of people also want family-based, aka chain, migration and the diversity visa lottery ended and the wall built. If Democrats dig in their heels on that, they’ll lose this fight.

After reading Rich Lowry’s column, especially the closing, it’s apparent that DC Republicans don’t understand what just happened.

When Lowry says “There’s still a good chance that Democrats can force a bad DACA deal, given that the GOP is divided on immigration and Trump might be tempted to sign up for anything as long as there’s notional funding for a Wall.” With all due respect, the chances of Trump settling for token funding for a wall ignores what Sen. Schumer already offered in negotiations this weekend. Once something’s offered, it’s virtually impossible to retract that offer.

Further, we’ve seen proof that President Trump is perfectly willing to criticize Republicans. (Think Lindsey Graham.) Lowry should think of President Trump as a hockey goalie. Lowry should think of President Trump as the Republicans’ last line of defense.

With all due respect to Lowry, nothing Trump’s done indicates he’s anything but an immigration hardliner. I can’t deny the fact that, at times, he’s impulsive. Still, he’s got enough people around him (think John Kelly, Stephen Miller and Tom Cotton) who won’t let him sign a bad deal.

Ben Shapiro made a compelling argument that Trump and Republicans would win the next round, too:

The shutdown was pretty lopsided. Sen. Schumer got crushed. President Trump won handily. When it comes to border security, the American people agree with President Trump. The average American wants DACA recipients protected but they also want to be protected from MS-13. They don’t want drug cartels and human traffickers leisurely waltzing across the border. They want cartel-related crimes stopped. Those dynamics favor Republicans overwhelmingly.

Finally, does anyone think Democrats have a fighting chance of prevailing on not increasing military spending? Democrats will have to cave quickly on that.

It’s time for Republicans to learn how to be victorious. People thought President Trump shouldn’t be taken seriously when he predicted that Americans would get tired of winning. After winning bigtime on the Trump/GOP tax cuts, then winning bigtime on the shutdown, it’s time for Republicans to realize the people aren’t with the Democrats.

Last night on Special Report, Jonathan Swan and Jonah Goldberg said something that caught my attention. First, Swan said that Sen. Schumer’s capitulation (my words, not his) was a short-term victory for Democrats. Then he opined that it was a long-term victory for Democrats. Shortly after that, Goldberg said that he agreed with Swan. Frankly, I think they’re both wrong. In fact, I think they’re missing something huge that’s playing in the Republicans’ favor in terms of winning the budget fight.

Both men said that Republicans had given away a major bargaining chip by giving in on CHIP. It’s indisputable that Republicans sweetened the pot for Democrats with CHIP so it’s foolish arguing that point. The point that they’re both missing is that the next deadline will require lifting the caps on the military budget. Only a tiny fraction of military units have the spare parts required to be fully ready. Training of National Guard troops is lacking, too.

If Democrats think Republicans won’t beat them over the head with that during the next round of budget talks, they’re kidding themselves. Lindsey Graham is a dove on border security but he’s a hawk on defense spending. If Democrats think that they can shut down the government again without increasing defense spending, they aren’t in touch with reality. That’s a budget fight Democrats will lose if they choose to engage. After Sen. Schumer’s Monday capitulation, there’s little reason to think he’d want to drag the Democrats into another unwinnable fight.

As for building the wall and ending chain migration and the visa lottery, Democrats have already signaled that they’re caving on the wall. Luis Gutierrez, the most passionate open borders advocate on Capitol Hill, told CNN that he’d help build the wall if it meant protecting DACA recipients:

Add onto that the fact that Sen. Schumer told President Trump that he’d be willing to fund the wall during their negotiating session this weekend. Once something is offered in negotiations, it’s impossible to be taken off the table later.

It’s worth noting that the American people are overwhelmingly with President Trump on ending chain migration. Mark Krikorian made an insightful statement when he said “The result is chain migration, in which yesterday’s immigrants decide who tomorrow’s immigrants will be.” Democrats will have a difficult time fighting that image.

Finally, Republicans have an edge in negotiations because President Trump is a skilled negotiator, the American people are with him and he’s got the biggest megaphone on the planet. The Democrats’ losing is just beginning.

It isn’t an overstatement to that that the government reopened when Sen. Schumer blinked. The final vote for cloture was 81 yeas, 18 nays. That’s the vote that ended debate and allows a final vote on the CR to fund the government. UPDATE: That bill has now passed the Senate. The House will soon vote on the bill. President Trump will likely be able to sign it late this afternoon.

Appearing on Outnumbered as today’s #OneLuckyGuy, Pete Hegseth put it best when he told the ladies of Outnumbered that “Schumer blinked.” That’s exactly what happened. Sen. Schumer essentially told his far-left immigration advocates that maintaining this fight was a loser for Democrats. He essentially talked the Democrats’ special interest groups off the ledge.

In exchange for caving, Sen. Schumer got promised that the Senate would vote on DACA and immigration-related issues within the next month. He didn’t get a promise that President Trump wouldn’t still push for ending chain migration and the visa lottery. President Trump will insist on those things being part of DACA-related legislation.

This is how the shutdown ended:

The Senate on Monday voted 81-18 to break a Democratic filibuster on a government spending bill, clearing the way for Congress to approve the stopgap measure and end the three-day government shutdown. Democrats effectively backed off their opposition, after being given assurances from majority Republicans.

Before the vote, Senate Minority Leader Sen. Chuck Schumer made clear that Senate Democrats would supply the GOP-controlled Senate with the votes needed, but only in exchange for “fair” and immediate efforts to consider legislation that would protect illegal immigrants brought to the United States as children.

Republicans, especially President Trump, now has the upper hand in these negotiations. What’s settled is that the vast majority of people want DACA recipients protected. What will get settled is that they want the wall built and chain migration ended ASAP.

Now that Democrats have separated DACA from the budget, they can’t ‘re-link’ those things again.

Another thing that’s got to get resolved is military spending. If Democrats are stubborn about that, they’ll lose that fight just like they lost the shutdown fight.